VIC The Market has certainly changed direction - Melbourne

Discussion in 'Where to Buy' started by NWHT, 19th Mar, 2018.

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Which way do you think the market is headed in Melbourne?

Poll closed 23rd Jan, 2020.
  1. Strong Upwards

    0.9%
  2. Upwards

    9.3%
  3. Flatning

    23.0%
  4. Flat

    22.1%
  5. Downward

    30.8%
  6. Strong Downward

    14.0%
  1. Tofubiscuit

    Tofubiscuit Well-Known Member

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    Pro athletes go through so much hardship and training, one bad injury (or ball tampering incident) and your career is over.

    Plus, many struggle with life, work and finance after they retire from sports.
     
  2. albanga

    albanga Well-Known Member

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    Please explain to me how it’s not gospel when their is a direct correlation between these school catchment zones and house prices?
    You said yourself McKinnon has approximately a 10% increase in house prices.
    The increase is directly related to the school and the reason being is the perceived benefit to the child’s education. I don’t think these schools hide the fact they are top 10 rated in their marketing handouts.

    No matter your strategy to put your children their it’s done because of a better perceived outcome. If anyone argues this they are absolutely kidding themselves. And the reality is most people would just be taken the path of purchasing inflated house property.

    Let me ask you, if McKinnon were say ranked 50. Do you believe property in its catchment would be as valuable?

    I’ll leave the other points alone because I have very strong views on private schooling that I know not everyone will agree with and people tend to get very upset when this is challenged.
     
  3. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    BTW.... who are the 3 that voted...... strong upward..... slap on the wrist with a feather duster:eek::p
     
  4. turk

    turk Well-Known Member

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    There is a direct correlation between zones and prices, but I was referring to the metrics you listed people using as gospel to pay this premium(Asian communities with almost non-existent sports, music or drama programs but with high ATARs) and confirmed in your post below

    'Mate it was an off the cuff comment more just having a crack at these metrics which many people use as gospel thinking paying ridiculously over inflated house prices is worth it because hey the school has a high score and that will result in a better outcome for their child’s education.
    It’s laughable at best'.

    You stated metric of the success of a school is

    'If you want a true metric of a schools success, we should be measuring incomes of students over periods of time.'



    Our metrics were for a culturally diverse school with strong teacher and peer support along with strong academics and a well rounded program including outdoor education, music and sport.

    I prefer my metrics.
     
  5. berten

    berten Well-Known Member

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    Agents :p
     
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  6. kmrr

    kmrr Well-Known Member

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    on the topic of schools and whether a high enter means the will earn more money, anecdotally I have heard from my peers working for the Big 4 and other professional services that there is definitely a bias to kids coming from better known private schools.
     
  7. The Y-man

    The Y-man Moderator Staff Member

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    It could also be related to the whole networking thing of "who you know counts more than what
    you know".

    The Y-man
     
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  8. JamesP

    JamesP Well-Known Member

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    Check this out. Ignoring the recent boom one is a 350k property the other 600k. There are leagues between those two estates and Jarryd crescent in particular is a very undesirable street.

    4 Hasken Court, Berwick, Vic 3806
    28 Jarryd Crescent, Berwick, Vic 3806

    For those who know the area it's extremely unbalanced and bizarre to see areas in Old Berwick, Edrington. Avebury and Beaconsfield selling for the same price as Mansfield, Bemersyde, Chase/Kingsmere estates.

    I think it's a distortion of migrants having no idea what they're buying. Properties of any form are instantly becoming 600k. This will all straighten itself out at one point.
     
    Last edited: 17th Jan, 2019
    JohnPropChat likes this.
  9. Triton

    Triton Well-Known Member

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  10. The Y-man

    The Y-man Moderator Staff Member

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  11. Triton

    Triton Well-Known Member

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    Last edited: 17th Jan, 2019
  12. The Y-man

    The Y-man Moderator Staff Member

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    ...and yet, at a million bucks, I still feel it's overpriced. I can think of places personally more attractive for me at that price than this one (as an investment or home) - but that could be a personal taste thing.

    The Y-man

    p.s. I should be talking the place up! I have shares in the REIT that owns Oakleigh shopping centre and Chaddy!! :eek::p
     
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  13. Triton

    Triton Well-Known Member

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    I can't think of much better locations than Oakleigh for 1 mill.
     
  14. The Y-man

    The Y-man Moderator Staff Member

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    For our IP's I would been looking closer in @ ascot vale, brunswick, etc ~ but that's just me....

    I think past purchases also clouds my vision - having bought several in the Clayton / C-South areas in the past, I inevitably compare current prices with the past (even if it was years ago) thinking "crap, the area is sooooo expy now!!"

    The Y-man
     
  15. Silverson

    Silverson Well-Known Member

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    For private schooling or against?
     
  16. stockboy

    stockboy Active Member

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    Would appreciate your thoughts on my situation here:

    Leaving Australia, should I sell?
     
  17. 2jzzzz

    2jzzzz Active Member

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    Melbourne
    What do you think about the $600 - $900 bracket? 4 2 2, 15km from CBD, family type home with backyard and park across the road?
     
  18. The Y-man

    The Y-man Moderator Staff Member

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    Which side of town?

    The Y-man
     
  19. Westie

    Westie Well-Known Member

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    This one in Werribee sold for $525k in July 2017 at the peak. I was there at the auction and these 2 cocky Chinese dudes in a new S350 Merc took it for that price. The house is on sale again for the same price range >> https://www.realestate.com.au/property/31-tower-rd-werribee-vic-3030. I'd be keen to see how much it goes for this time around.
     
  20. hieund85

    hieund85 Well-Known Member

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    The only change/improvement is that they replaced the carpet by laminate flooring. Nothing else. I think they can get $550k-$570k for it. Location is pretty good, decent house on a corner block (but not big land size). An ok choice for FHB. I would say August 2017 was not market peak but close. Based on my observation, the market of that part of Werribee only peaked around early 2018 between Feb to April. Now it has come of the boil for around 5%.
     
    rjw180 likes this.