Any Melbourne defectors out there?

Lots going on in the markets and its all happening faster than the numbers can reflect. Given population data already lags 9 months behind reported times, I'm very interested in anectodes on migration at the moment.

One thing that looks to be an emerging trend is people jumping ship from Melbourne. I personally know of several people who have done this, mostly now staying with family in other states. Seems to be mostly a Victorian thing, so I'm curious if its spurred more by changing jobs (noting from SEEK reports that Melbourne's job market is taking twice the beating of other states) or if its a direct response to ongoing tighter lockdown restrictions.

I'm interested to hear if anyone out there has jumped borders (or even moved regional), and if they see it as a temporary move or the start of something more permanent?

 

Good post
Looking forward to hearing who if any on here doing this

 

I don't think societies memory lasts that long and things like this will only be temporary. There may be a temporary jump in people leaving now but given time different people will return in droves and the demand for Melbourne will boost ... You can apply this principle to almost everything... i.e. people returning to property after a crash generally, returning to countries after a war, buying into bitcoin after the bubble burst, bank shares, dotcom bubble. Its just temporary. A few people may leave Melbourne after being affected by COVID but a bucket load will fill the gap in the next 5-10 years.

 

Already discussed here:
Could NSW benefit from VIC knockdown with net positive migration?

 

I will add though that I didn’t think many people would but after Dans latest move it may become more a reality.

 

Don't worry - NSW and SA are making sure nobody breaks out of the Victorian gulag.

 

Talking to Newcastle Council development officer today (yay, DA approved) - and they said they've been absolutely flat out with applications ... mother in rural NZ said the market is running hot outside, but within driving distance, of the major cities ... local large cellar door said July was their highest financial month since they opened 16 years ago

Suspect many city folk have had a serious rethunk of their lives

 

Given the huge influx in 20-30 year olds over the last 5 years i would challenge that its a given people will simply come back after if they do leave. Lots of people always have the intention to head home to start a family, this could be a big catalyst for it. I guess there are a lot of reasons for people to take various courses of action, i was hoping to get any first hand accounts

 

I'm a refugee from Melbourne, currently out in regional Victoria.

My partner got a job up here, working on precast sections for the Westgate Tunnel, and I followed her up at the end of last year.

It wasn't part of a grand master plan, and it's possible that we'll be back in Melbourne or even up in Sydney. It really depends on what happens with work and the pandemic.

 

If global warming is the real deal, then a seismic shift towards Melbourne and Tassie looks inevitable in the long run.

 

I suspect it may be similar to the situation that existed in Canberra for many years. Lots of young people came in to join the public service and on retirement the fled, some to the coast, others back to their home town. This eventually broke down as their children that had been born and raised in Canberra chose to remain.

Now it only the cold winters that drive people to leave.

 

I’m heavily invested in Melbourne but am looking at options to possibly move everything from the state.

 

What are you selling? If you are serious.. pm me

 

Victoria has a tendency to have periods where the population leaves in droves. Think of the end of the land boom in the early 1890s, and the recession of the early 1990s. I would not be at all surprised if we see another exodus coming.

 

can you elaborate? If you care to share

 

Yet Melb had highest immigration, number 1 in Australia prior to covid

 

As soon as I heard about the lockdown I moved back to Sydney from VIC. Still got half of my stuff down there tho and can't go back to get it.

 

I know it's a natural instinct to escape, and I would have if l could have (to my beach house 95km away), but this was a mistake of Victoria if it allowed people to escape the lockdown.
For example, Madrid gave notice and people split, spreading the virus all over the country. Barcelona gave notice, but then locked down a surprise day early on Sunday, catching anyone trying to leave the city, who then had to stay exactly where they were, for the next 12 weeks.

 

If you don't mind me asking, is this a permanent migration or do you intend to head back to Vic once things settle? And were you originally from NSW?