What is Really Happening Around The States??

Discussion in 'Property Market Economics' started by MTR, 26th Aug, 2016.

Join Australia's most dynamic and respected property investment community
  1. barnes

    barnes Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    1st Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    674
    Location:
    Adelaide
    I have asked you because you say, that the value of your property is around 680k. It would be correct ONLY after you sell it for that price, everything else is only a price prediction. I can say that my property is worth 500k, but when I start selling no one is willing to give me more than 350k for it.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: 28th Aug, 2016
  2. Tattler

    Tattler Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    1,067
    Location:
    Sydney
    Agree. For Adelaide I found that you either have to go for growth in blue ribbon/premium suburbs or go for yield. Otherwise you would be middle of nowhere, with money losses as well as not getting the CG required. Being zoned in and not far from Norwood Morialta also helped.
     
  3. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    27,859
    Location:
    My World
    So why on earth are investors buying in Elizabeth, SA? I think its the largest thread on SS/PC.??
     
  4. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    27,859
    Location:
    My World
    But to be quite frank.. if we are talking growth in Australia for the last 3 years, clearly investors should have been targeting Melb and Syd, that is where the money is/was.
     
  5. Tattler

    Tattler Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    1,067
    Location:
    Sydney
    Elizabeth is the high yield capital of Adelaide ...... It is like Logan in Brisbane ......

    I have friend who had an IP at Adelaide for 7 years. No growth on the property and negative gearing/cash flow means at the end they have to sell it (along with their Gold Coast IP) to try to buy a house at Sydney (right now!!!!).
     
    Tony66 and SOULFLY3 like this.
  6. Tattler

    Tattler Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    1,067
    Location:
    Sydney
    Actually last 3 years, certain part of Adelaide jumped, especially the blue ribbon suburbs (inner eastern, inner south eastern and inner south suburbs all jumped). That is because they have some of the best public schools, excellent demographics and they are the suburbs that people actually want to upgrade to. With interest rate dropped Adelaideans try to upgrade to there.

    Now the rate of increase is not like Sydney which has gone ballistic but it is still a decent gain. But you won't hear much from here because to invest you need to be on negative cash flow and not many people here do this.
     
  7. Tattler

    Tattler Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    1,067
    Location:
    Sydney
  8. DaveM

    DaveM Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    14th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    3,761
    Location:
    Adelaide & Sydney
    There is a difference between finger in the air guesstimates by an owner, and an appraisal by a licensed real estate agent or a value by a qualified valuer. You were arguing that there is no prospects for buy and hold, then when shown an example now argue there has been value gain in Adelaide but its not worth anything until sold as that is the only time it is really worth anything?

    It is a good example too.. poorly bought properties happen Australia wide.. whether its buying in the wrong location, wrong market cycle, or the wrong type of property for the area. Informed investments are generally the best ones.

    There was no secret to making money in the 2013-2015 Sydney boom, anybody could have just pointed at any house in sydney, bought it, and made money along with everyone else in sydney who owned property. Other markets are not as simple, but there is always money to be made.
     
  9. Cactus

    Cactus Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jan, 2016
    Posts:
    1,445
    Location:
    Melbourne
    If @DaveM is worth his salt as a BA, then fair to say his market valuation would be fairly accurate.
     
  10. DaveM

    DaveM Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    14th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    3,761
    Location:
    Adelaide & Sydney
    Us land agents aren't allowed to use the word valuation unless we are also valuers... we have to use euphimisms like "market appraisal" :)
     
    wombat777 likes this.
  11. Scott No Mates

    Scott No Mates Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    27,252
    Location:
    Sydney or NSW or Australia
    Or acronyms like WFG which often resembles the advice.
     
  12. Cactus

    Cactus Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jan, 2016
    Posts:
    1,445
    Location:
    Melbourne
    Yes, I'm also a LREA. You can value your own properties and appraise others. ;)
     
  13. Scott No Mates

    Scott No Mates Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    27,252
    Location:
    Sydney or NSW or Australia
    We won't hold that against you :p
     
  14. Cactus

    Cactus Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jan, 2016
    Posts:
    1,445
    Location:
    Melbourne
    Bahaha I don't practise in mum and dad real estate. Weekends blahhh. Got it when I was doing vacant land sales. Prefer development but it's good to get qualifications when you can.
     
  15. sash

    sash Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    15,663
    Location:
    Sydney
    The return on Tranmere is pretty ordinary....stamps and registration in SA are atrocicous....the cost to get in would have been 30k (stamps, registration, legals).

    So the profit is about 110k gain...which represents 20% gain....the real issue is the 3.62% return which will not cover the holding costs. Assuming a 500k mortgage...you are dipping into your pocket. I feel some of the middle areas offer much better bang for buck. Personally...you could have made 110k in Melbourne a lot quicker with less risk....

    I also feel that places like Elizabeth...offer no potential period....my personal opinion...

     
    SOULFLY3 likes this.
  16. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    27,859
    Location:
    My World
    right so they prefer to make $2000 pa cashflow than perhaps making $100,000+ pa in CG...?
    I guess they don't realise you need capital first to grow a property portfolio
     
  17. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    27,859
    Location:
    My World

    ... and that is the point Dave why invest in Adelaide in 2013 when a buyer could have purchased in Syd as per your example and made money sitting on their hands.:eek:

    BTW, I have nothing against Adelaide, but I do want to make money
     
    Last edited: 28th Aug, 2016
    barnes likes this.
  18. Azazel

    Azazel Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    8,091
    Location:
    Brisbane
    That might be why.
    Continually talked up.
    The people who bought early might have a vested interest perhaps?
     
  19. DaveM

    DaveM Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    14th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    3,761
    Location:
    Adelaide & Sydney
    Some people may not have had the foresight or confidence or cash to do so,.. or they preferred to invest locally, who knows. What many on PC forget is that not everyone is as financially educated as people here, and they buy what is safe. Some people also just make the wrong call and buy the wrong thing at the wrong time.
     
  20. DaveM

    DaveM Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    14th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    3,761
    Location:
    Adelaide & Sydney
    Still, its doing better than your $0 increase after 8 years Elizabeth semi? :)

    Not claiming its the pinnacle of CG in the region, there have been some stellar inner ring growth numbers this year.

    I agree for the most part, I havent bought anything in Elizabeth myself or for clients
     
    Last edited: 28th Aug, 2016
    RetireRich101 likes this.