Real Pain - Australian Mining Towns

Discussion in 'Property Market Economics' started by MTR, 13th Nov, 2016.

Join Australia's most dynamic and respected property investment community
Tags:
  1. wobbycarly

    wobbycarly Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    301
    Location:
    Geelong
    So I regret NOT buying in the US when the chatter was all about ATL (was working in AU for a company HQ'ed in ATL) and I have NO regrets about NOT buying in PH. Remember when the Crawfords were in every second API?

    Slow and steady over here, so no booms, but also no busts!!
     
    willair likes this.
  2. Eric Wu

    Eric Wu Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    8th Oct, 2016
    Posts:
    1,603
    Location:
    Australia
    thanks for the post @MTR, what an eye opener. feel sorry for people who bought into these areas at the peak.
     
    Beano likes this.
  3. Beano

    Beano Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    7th Apr, 2016
    Posts:
    3,359
    Location:
    Brisbane
    I did see many advertisement pushing the high yields ...but i only focus in main cities
     
    MTR likes this.
  4. willair

    willair Well-Known Member Premium Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    6,795
    Location:
    ....UKI nth nsw ....
    Only from people that i have talked too who have bought in Moranbah over the past six months,and they never paid more then 100k complete high set 3 bed nothing to spend,they are not worried about renting them they just think that the price of coal,and as there various location within a central radius of Moranbah of above high grade coal in the hands on India Based multi nationals,just another market within a market like corner blocks..imho..
     
    Cactus likes this.
  5. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    27,859
    Location:
    My World
    No, there are far better options than buying in mining towns today
     
    Sackie likes this.
  6. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    27,859
    Location:
    My World

    Crawfords bankrupt now
     
  7. Yson

    Yson Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    4th Jan, 2016
    Posts:
    361
    Location:
    Sydney
    I remember I saw the news, it was 2 ppl n expanded to 80ppl n bankrupted now
     
  8. petewargent

    petewargent Buyer's Agent

    Joined:
    5th Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    300
    Location:
    Australia
    maybe true! but remember loads of gurus specifically recommended Gladstone, it was on '"just about every hotspot list" of 2012
     
    MikeyBallarat and Whitecat like this.
  9. Realist35

    Realist35 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    1st Mar, 2016
    Posts:
    1,695
    Location:
    WA
    I live in Port Hedland and I have witnessed many sad stories. My work mate bought a 650k house at the peak, that was leaking and it was generally in a very bad condition. He says he would be lucky if he can get 200k for it now. So he just keeps renting it out and bleeding a lot of money.

    Another work mate of mine just bought two houses in South Hedland, ~170k each (I believe they used to be worth 500-600k each). He's looking into buying a third one too and every other day he tells me I'm making a big mistake by not buying. He might be right but I prefer to be safe and will always invest only in capitals.
     
    Ted Varrick and Beano like this.
  10. Scott No Mates

    Scott No Mates Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    27,255
    Location:
    Sydney or NSW or Australia
    I was recently sourcing commercial space in PH - no discount there due to scarcity. Definitely not cheap windowless space.
     
    Realist35 likes this.
  11. bob shovel

    bob shovel Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    6,935
    Location:
    Lower Blue Mountains
    Hate to say "markets within markets" but gladstone does have a number of them. All taken different paths. I think the numbers are lagging quite a bit to. There's a good 30% knocked off but in some area's more.

    I'll see what i can screen shot to share but some of the suburbs are
    South Gladstone
    West Gladstone
    Telina
    Clinton
    New Auckland

    Some haven't taken as much of a hit as others, some don't look like mining towns others bigtime boom and bust.
    One suburb i looked at showed yield going from 6% up to 8% but when matching to median went eg. 300pw up to 650pw and the lah of data isn't showing but would be now 200pw

    Also population needs to be added in to the equation
    Gladstone is 50k while the others are sub 20k
     
  12. Yson

    Yson Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    4th Jan, 2016
    Posts:
    361
    Location:
    Sydney
    Why ur work mate buy in south hedland for $170k?
     
  13. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    27,859
    Location:
    My World
    It's timing... those who purchased in wa mining towns in 2001 beginning of the boom were buying at around 160-180k with huge rents made a killing

    4 bedroom homes at peak were renting in Karratha for as much as $1800+ per week
     
    Whitecat and Big Will like this.
  14. Propertunity

    Propertunity Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    3,476
    Location:
    NSW
    Hi @MTR. I agree it's timing. You have to time your entry and exit points with a high degree of precision. Most are no good at choosing their timing.
     
    bob shovel and MTR like this.
  15. Propertunity

    Propertunity Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    3,476
    Location:
    NSW
    If loads of gurus are recommending something that too should be a red flag - most of the action has already passed by then. I find most hotspot lists to be laughable these days.
     
    petewargent likes this.
  16. Big Will

    Big Will Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    2,517
    Location:
    Melbourne, Australia
    1. Bad if you bought at the peak and now gone back.

    2. Okay if you bought before the boom and held and they are worth the same as before.

    3. Great if you bought before the boom and sold at the peak.

    4. Below average if you bought before the boom and it still hasn't boomed.

    If you can repeat number 3 you will be mega rich but if you pick number 1 you will be bankrupt pretty quickly.

    This is mining towns for you, if you get the timing right jackpot but if you get it wrong disastrous. If the time doesn't happen then you have wasted opportunity.
     
    radson likes this.
  17. Yson

    Yson Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    4th Jan, 2016
    Posts:
    361
    Location:
    Sydney
    But there are so many mining towns in aus, I guess it's a luck to buy before the boom
     
    Whitecat and Realist35 like this.
  18. Nlang

    Nlang Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    11th Sep, 2016
    Posts:
    87
    Location:
    Australia
    Interesting topic and my attitude is swings and roundabouts I own 2 properties in mining town but that town heavily relies on welfare and government so will always will be jobs for gov workers and this place will never change in regards to that.
    Sure I'd much prefer to own in capital cities but the amount of money I had wasn't enough

    Each place is so different it's hard I really feel for people that were trying to do something and make some money and failed
     
  19. Big Will

    Big Will Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    2,517
    Location:
    Melbourne, Australia
    I haven't looked into it but you might improve you luck following where exploration licences are being done.

    Not sure if this would give you good results but it can make sense if there is a lot of exploration and you buy before there is any announcement I would think you would do well.

    However if they find nothing you have ended up with a meh property and hopefully you can either hold until they came back again or sell it at no loss besides costs (stamp, rea fees etc).
     
  20. Marg4000

    Marg4000 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    6,421
    Location:
    Qld
    For every person who got burned buying at the peak of the market in a mining town there is a vendor who made an awful lot of money!!

    Friend's son bought a house and doubled his money in a couple of years in Gladstone before selling when moving back to Brisbane. Just blind good luck, both moves were work transfers!
    Marg
     
    Ted Varrick, Beano and Gockie like this.