VIC Invest in Geelong suburbs or close to Melbourne ( Melton south)

Discussion in 'Where to Buy' started by timo, 6th Jul, 2018.

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  1. timo

    timo Member

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    Hi Guys

    Could you please shed some lights on

    1. Investing $500K in Geelong
    2. Investing $500K somewhere close to Melbourne ( Ex: Melton South)

    Which will grow more in next 2-3 years
     
  2. Propertunity

    Propertunity Well-Known Member

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    No-one, I repeat, no-one can answer that question with any degree of certainty.

    My smart-a** answer if you cannot decide is to buy one in each location. That way you have your bases covered.
     
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  3. timo

    timo Member

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    Thank you for the quick reply.

    What about long term say 5-10 years
     
  4. Propertunity

    Propertunity Well-Known Member

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    Here's the moving median prices on both areas for the last few years:
    upload_2018-7-6_12-9-57.png

    upload_2018-7-6_12-11-44.png

    I don't do predictions after the lines stop at today's date. You have to learn to make your own intelligent guesstimates for what happens into the future. Gurus get it wrong all the time. Be your own guru.
     
  5. timo

    timo Member

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    Thank you Alan

    Which website I can access this chart ( I mean monthly breakdown)

    Regards

    Timo
     
  6. Propertunity

    Propertunity Well-Known Member

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    It's a paid subscription site so you don't get access unless you pay $5+K pa :(
     
  7. rizzle

    rizzle Well-Known Member

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    SQM Research is a great free resource on pretty good quality property data (charts only, no underlying data).
     
  8. David Shih

    David Shih Mortgage Broker Business Member

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    This is like asking what's the winning lotto number for next week...unfortunately like Alan said, no one knows.

    Geelong has been going gangbusters in the last 12-18 months and now is trending steady. Whereas Melbourne is trending down. So my question for you would be, is now really the best time to jump into Geelong/Melbourne markets?

    Cheers,
    David
     
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  9. Frank M

    Frank M Well-Known Member

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    its hard to say as they have both had massive jumps.. how much can it continue going up at that pace?
    Not too familar with Geelong though i do have some insight of Melton region as i have 1 ip also that i brought last May 2017 and that grew 100k in 12months big jump especially when the melton market didnt go anywhere for 10 years. Last couple years they have put alot of money into infrastructure to help that boom.

    Though in saying that you can still get quality properties in melton/kurunjang for 400-450k so theres still potential
     
  10. SAVVIN06

    SAVVIN06 New Member

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    Hi

    I had booked a 450k land and house package in Melton south in maple wood estate.

    This is my first IP. Objective is if I can get a decent equity of 100K in 4 years, thinking of using that to buy a small house in Sydney for self living.

    Am seeing both positive and negative views on Melton south

    Negative view is about how much steam is really left for growth(it grew nearly 30% in the last year). So does it really have further scope of CG.

    positive view is about train station. Shopping complex etc

    Can some body share their views

    The land had not yet come for settlement and so I still have the ability to exit if I get a feedback that further scope of increase in value is less

    Thx
     
  11. Frank M

    Frank M Well-Known Member

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    For it to grow 100k in equity, youd need 5% growth each year.

    How much for left in growth will come down to supply and demand combined with affordability

    Will it get 5% growth per year for 4 years probably unlikely but will come close

    Melton south is trying to get a new hospital funded, if that get passed then growth should follow
     
  12. SAVVIN06

    SAVVIN06 New Member

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    Thanks Frank for the inputs.
     
  13. johnmteliza

    johnmteliza Well-Known Member

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    Geelong likely has the most growth potential out of the two. Geelong is also benefiting from the inner city Melbourne slowdown the same way the Mornington Peninsula is.
     
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  14. Jake Milne

    Jake Milne Well-Known Member

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    It's getting really tough buying decent houses <$500k in Geelong. You might find yourself in Whittington or Corio and one has to tread carefully in those areas. Good luck!

    Here's a tip, stay out of the orange/ red streets in the screen capture:
     

    Attached Files:

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  15. gkp

    gkp Well-Known Member

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    Hi Jake,

    If you have one, can you please share a screen capture of Corio area similar to what you posted for Whittington.
     
  16. Jake Milne

    Jake Milne Well-Known Member

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    Sure :)
     

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  17. johnmteliza

    johnmteliza Well-Known Member

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    You can get more information yourself from Get the facts the property ad left out and look at other areas in Melbourne for public housing as well.
     
  18. gkp

    gkp Well-Known Member

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  19. gkp

    gkp Well-Known Member

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    Thanks Jake. What does those colours indicate?
     
  20. Jake Milne

    Jake Milne Well-Known Member

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    Red = more council housing/ public housing
    Blue = less ^
    Other colours sit in between the ends of the red/blue scale
     
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