Debt Bomb: Fears of housing 'fire sale' as interest-only loans roll into principal plus interest

Discussion in 'Property Market Economics' started by Pete Arendt, 19th Jun, 2018.

Join Australia's most dynamic and respected property investment community
  1. willair

    willair Well-Known Member Premium Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    6,800
    Location:
    ....UKI nth nsw ....
    I hope you are right,Rolf..
    But from what I have been reading about the strong US economy ,with that also comes the fears of rising inflation and faster then people think Federal Reserve rate hikes,which also may affect us treasuries and investment x- grade corporate bonds..Plus US based companies are borrowing more and with that their interest rates are rising faster in line with their incomes..maybe just fake news but when inflation comes into play its the
    elephant in the room ..
     
  2. Noobieboy

    Noobieboy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    10th Aug, 2017
    Posts:
    2,172
    Location:
    Utopia
    Chances of inflation are slim indeed. Inflation is not a bad thing. We need it to start rising 3%-4% would be ideal. Stagflation is way worse than rising interest rates.
     
  3. ymmf

    ymmf Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    21st May, 2018
    Posts:
    61
    Location:
    Sydney
    I already feel like we are in stagflation - my wage hasn't gone up much but the food has.
     
  4. perthskippy88

    perthskippy88 Member

    Joined:
    19th Nov, 2017
    Posts:
    10
    Location:
    Perth
     
  5. scienceman

    scienceman Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    23rd Feb, 2016
    Posts:
    336
    Location:
    Sydney
    I think you have your terms mixed up as stagflation is high inflation and low growth. PS: some economists question whether deflation is actually a bag thing.
     
  6. qemist

    qemist Active Member

    Joined:
    7th Aug, 2017
    Posts:
    42
    Location:
    Australia
    Often accompanied by high interest rates and unemployment. We had stagflation in the 70s and early 80s. It means the state's keynesianism has stopped working, which is why they switched to fiscal rectitude and monetarism for a while in the late 80s and 90s. Keynesianism is back in fashion.

    A return to high inflation would definitely be good for bitcoin.

    Any central bankers among them? or are they still talking about helicopter money?
     
    Noobieboy likes this.
  7. MWI

    MWI Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    17th Jul, 2017
    Posts:
    2,304
    Location:
    Lower North Sydney NSW
    Agree with you Wylie, I think most would try and cut down on discretionary spending.....IMHO only!
     
  8. MWI

    MWI Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    17th Jul, 2017
    Posts:
    2,304
    Location:
    Lower North Sydney NSW
    Agree, if PPOR own around 70-65% and even if all investors sell 30-35% then most of us still need to live somewhere, and have a roof under our heads no matter what.... While most don't need to hold any stocks and baby boomers can start pulling out more as a larger % retiring and relying on some form of pension or higher % pull out from Super the older they get. That's how our system is structured so I just look in simple terms, perhaps I am wrong?
     
  9. MWI

    MWI Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    17th Jul, 2017
    Posts:
    2,304
    Location:
    Lower North Sydney NSW
    High inflation would favour property investors too!