COVID-19 statistics

There is a lag - but not as much as we're seeing in the US.

The UK's figures I can believe - they seem consistent and are following an expected pattern:



The US's figures I do not:



Cases have more than halved in the past month but deaths remain at pretty much the same level - still around 3K deaths per day that they had at the peak of cases in January.

I would be curious to see stats on hospitalisations in the US to see if they have dropped in line with the drop in cases. The only explanation I can come up with is that the US hospital system is so overwhelmed that people are simply not getting the treatment they need to survive - people are dying who might have otherwise survived.

I'd really like to try and build some monthly stats into the system to see if that gives us any more insight - deaths per case isn't that meaningful on a daily or even weekly basis because of the variable amount of time it takes for someone to die from COVID, but averaged on a monthly basis I think we can start to make some comparisons. I'd like to see how the US's deaths per case for January compares to February - I think Feb's rate could be double, which is very unexpected and I suggest unrealistic too.

 

As of 12th February there are still 132 countries with more than 10,000 cases - with no new countries added since last week.

Australia's COVID ranking as of 12th Feb Jan 2021:

• #112 in the world for total cases (down from #111 last week)
• #131 in the world for average daily cases over the past week (same as last week) - note that Tajikistan in #132 seem to have stopped reporting any cases as of 1st Jan 2021
• #121 in the world for percentage of population infected (same as last week)
• #94 in the world for total deaths (down from #90 last week)
• #129 (equal last) in the world for average daily deaths over the past week (same as last week)
• #107 in the world for deaths per million population (same as last week)
• #22 in the world for deaths per case (down from #20 last week)

Top 20 countries as of 12th Feb 2021:

COVID-19 Report - Total cases as of 12 Feb 2021

• US well over 27M cases
• UK and Russia pass 4M cases
• Spain passes 3M cases
• Argentina passes 2M cases

COVID-19 Report - Average daily new cases as of 12 Feb 2021

• Ukraine replaces Portugal in the top 20

COVID-19 Report - Population infection rate as of 12 Feb 2021

• Czechia joins the 10% club
• UK and Serbia join the 6% club
• Sweden replaces Croatia in the top 20

 

Top 20 countries as of 12th Feb 2021:





COVID-19 Report - Total deaths as of 12 Feb 2021








COVID-19 Report - Average daily deaths as of 12 Feb 2021

• US still remains above 3K deaths per day on average
• Slovakia replaces Lebanon in the top 20

COVID-19 Report - Deaths per million population as of 12 Feb 2021

• Portugal still seeing growth - now up to 8th place overall

COVID-19 Report - Deaths per case as of 12 Feb 2021

• Australia drops out of the top 20, replaced by Malawi

 

Top 10 countries as of 12th Feb 2021 (based on average daily new cases):




#1: US cases continue to drop - but deaths remain curiously high - still at largely the same level after a month of falls in case numbers, which doesn't really add up.

COVID-19 charts for United States









#2: Brazil cases and deaths remain fairly consistent

COVID-19 charts for Brazil










#3: Spain's cases continue to fall, but deaths are still climbing slightly

COVID-19 charts for Spain









#4: France's cases and deaths are a bit all over the place at the moment - seems to be some data consistence issues.

COVID-19 charts for France










#5: Russia up to 5th place, cases continue to improve - deaths have improved marginally this week

COVID-19 charts for Russia

 

Top 10 countries as of 12th Feb 2021 (continued):




#6: UK down to 6th place with continued rapid drops in case numbers and corresponding falls in deaths too. Their rapid pace of vaccination will really start to make a difference moving forwards.

COVID-19 charts for United Kingdom










#7: Italy up to 7th place - cases trending up a bit this week while deaths continue to drop

COVID-19 charts for Italy










#8: India up to 8th place - the rate of drops in cases and deaths is slowing, but still improving

COVID-19 charts for India











#9: Indonesia down to 9th place as case numbers drop off with deaths dropping too.

COVID-19 charts for Indonesia









#10: Mexico's numbers are jumping around a lot - no real progress in cases this week, but deaths continue to rise

COVID-19 charts for Mexico

 

Top 5 US states as of 12th Feb 2021:





#1: Texas cases improve quite rapidly this week, with deaths starting to improve too

COVID-19 charts for Texas, US










#2: California's cases continue their rapid improvement while deaths are trending downward sharply now too

COVID-19 charts for California, US










#3: New York back up to 3rd place - cases have stopped falling, but deaths still trending downwards slowly

COVID-19 charts for New York, US










#4: Florida back down to 4th place with improvements in case numbers. Deaths remain high though.

COVID-19 charts for Florida, US









#5: North Carolina cases and deaths dropping this week

COVID-19 charts for North Carolina, US

 

I'm interested in seeing if there is a change in infections brought about by vaccine use. But there doesn't seem to be a consistent pattern - obviously mother factors come into play. While there have been reductions in cases in Israel with the percentage of vaccinations (the chart shows the number of doses per 100 people, and each person requires two doses to be vaccinated), the reduction in cases is far more dramatic in the US and UK with fewer vaccinations, while UAE has only a small reduction and Bahrain (hiding behind the US in the chart) has had no reduction. As time passed, the actual effect of the vaccinations may become more clear cut.

 

At least, everybody who wants a vaccination will be able to get one. I suspect there will be a high proportion who don't want one for various reasons.

Israel has been largely successful due to an education program encouraging people to be vaccinated.

 

As of 19th February there are now 133 countries with more than 10,000 cases - with 1 new country added since last week:

• Lesotho

Australia's COVID ranking as of 19th Feb Jan 2021:

• #113 in the world for total cases (down from #112 last week)
• #132 in the world for average daily cases over the past week (down from #131 last week)
• #122 in the world for percentage of population infected (down from #121 last week)
• #95 in the world for total deaths (down from #94 last week)
• #130 (equal last) in the world for average daily deaths over the past week (same as last week)
• #108 in the world for deaths per million population (down from #107 last week)
• #22 in the world for deaths per case (same as last week)

Top 20 countries as of 19th Feb 2021:

COVID-19 Report - Total cases as of 19 Feb 2021

• US has passed 28M cases
• India passes 11M cases
• Brazil passes 10M cases
• Mexico passes 2M cases

COVID-19 Report - Average daily new cases as of 19 Feb 2021

• Netherlands replaces Israel in top 20

COVID-19 Report - Population infection rate as of 19 Feb 2021

• Montenegro passes 11% infection rate
• Israel passes 8% infection
• Bahrain passes 7% infection
• Netherlands and Sweden pass 6% infection
• All countries in the top 20 have now had at least 6% of their population infected with COVID

 

Top 20 countries as of 19th Feb 2021:





COVID-19 Report - Total deaths as of 19 Feb 2021








COVID-19 Report - Average daily deaths as of 19 Feb 2021

• India replaces Turkey in the top 20

COVID-19 Report - Deaths per million population as of 19 Feb 2021

• Portugal now up to 6th place

COVID-19 Report - Deaths per case as of 19 Feb 2021

 

Top 10 countries as of 19th Feb 2021 (based on average daily new cases):





#1: US case number continue to drop rapidly, deaths have dropped sharply this week too - now below 2,000 deaths per day on average.

COVID-19 charts for United States










#2: Brazil's numbers still very erratic - but have shown sharp jumps in new cases and deaths this week

COVID-19 charts for Brazil









#3: There seem to be delays in getting data out of France - which shows up as dips at certain times in the graphs, but is then updated at a later date, so we can still see an overall trend. Cases seem to be trending down, as are deaths, but France is now up to 3rd place overall for average daily cases.

COVID-19 charts for France










#4: Russia up to 4th place overall - but still showing a sustained drop in new cases and a sharp drop in deaths this week.

COVID-19 charts for Russia









#5: India up from 8th place to 5th place this week - showing a slight uptick in new cases, but the rise in rankings is more related to the sharp drop in cases in other countries.

COVID-19 charts for India

 

Top 10 countries as of 19th Feb 2021 (continued):






#6: Italy up to 6th place overall - cases remain steady this week but deaths have continued to drop

COVID-19 charts for Italy










#7: UK down to 7th place with continued drops in numbers and deaths.

COVID-19 charts for United Kingdom











#8: Spain drop from 3rd place to 8th place with a continued fall in new case numbers and deaths are sharply lower this week too

COVID-19 charts for Spain











#9: Indonesia have seen a sharp rise in cases this week after previous calls. Deaths were up earlier in the week, but now seem to be dropping again.

COVID-19 charts for Indonesia











#10: Czechia replaces Mexico in the top 10 - case numbers starting to increase rapidly again, and deaths are trending upwards too.

COVID-19 charts for Czechia

 

Top 5 US states as of 19th Feb 2021:





#1: New York passes Texas and California for 1st place - mostly due to sharp falls in cases in those other states. New York is still showing drops in new cases and deaths continue to trend downwards.

COVID-19 charts for New York, US










#2: California continues to see sharp improvement in case numbers and deaths

COVID-19 charts for California, US










#3: Florida up to 3rd place - cases are still improving, deaths marginally better

COVID-19 charts for Florida, US










#4: Texas drops from 1st to 4th place with sharp drops in cases and deaths

COVID-19 charts for Texas, US










#5: Iowa replaces North Carolina in the top 5 - although this is due to the sharp increase in case numbers which is either bad data, or a correction.

COVID-19 charts for Iowa, US

 

I've read an article that suggested that reported declines have been exaggerated, as snowstorms and power failures especially in Texas have led to a decrease in reported cases, as testing is down and reporting where testing has taken place has not yet gone to the reporting authorities.

It will be interesting to see if statistics, especially the sharp declines in Texas, reflect this when things get back to normal.

 

As of 26th February there are still 133 countries with more than 10,000 cases - no change since last week.

Australia's COVID ranking as of 26th Feb 2021:

• #113 in the world for total cases (same as last week)
• #131 in the world for average daily cases over the past week (up from #132 last week)
• #122 in the world for percentage of population infected (same as last week)
• #95 in the world for total deaths (same as last week)
• #128 (equal last) in the world for average daily deaths over the past week (up from #130 last week)
• #109 in the world for deaths per million population (down from #108 last week)
• #22 in the world for deaths per case (same as last week)

Top 20 countries as of 26th Feb 2021:

COVID-19 Report - Total cases as of 26 Feb 2021

• Russia up into 4th place

COVID-19 Report - Average daily new cases as of 26 Feb 2021







COVID-19 Report - Population infection rate as of 26 Feb 2021

• Andorra passes 14% infection
• Montenegro passes 12%
• Czechia passes 11%
• Slovenia passes 9%
• Panama passes 8%
• Lithuania passes 7%