Will the "bubble" pop?

Discussion in 'Property Market Economics' started by Luca, 11th Jul, 2021.

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  1. New Town

    New Town Well-Known Member

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    Sale in Woolloomooloo: $2,451,000. Agent says a great price, especially for a 89sqm terrace!

    I wonder if the purchasers have ever driven or flown over the blue mountains and over the vast endless lands of this country ha ha
     
  2. Trainee

    Trainee Well-Known Member

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    By that definition a share that doesnt pay a dividend is not an asset. Facebook shareholders are shaking their heads.

    which tells you how useful that definition of asset is.
     
    Last edited: 15th Jul, 2021
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  3. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    So some here may have a primary residence where they can refinance LOC $1-2m and live off this/income (LOE)? Not hard today.
    Not saying its a strategy I promote, but its kind of like a reverse mortgage, but you control it.
    if you are a believer, in 7/10 years primary residence will double
     
  4. John_BridgeToBricks

    John_BridgeToBricks Buyer's Agent Business Member

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    Whatever we want to call it, real estate certainly gives you choices....
     
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  5. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    …. All I can say is teach your children what you know
     
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  6. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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  7. Trainee

    Trainee Well-Known Member

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    Thats flat real growth. IF he’s right.

    for those who have a stack of equity after the last decade’s boom? Be choosy and pick up something for the grandkids. IF you believe that the long term trend is up.
     
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  8. Luca

    Luca Well-Known Member

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    I am with Marusik, once we reach the new normal there will be stagnation for a while...
     
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  9. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    I am calling early 2022, or closer to end of 2021….. I dont believe it will be interest rates rises, but a change in market sentiment???? Lets see
     
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  10. gach2

    gach2 Well-Known Member

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    In 2017 I called it would be 2018/2019 in NSW but I was wrong.

    Do you think this will apply to WA? Places that are finally seeing some growth after nearly a decade of sorrow? In saying that personally doesn't bother me (love the idea of a capital city in Australia being cheap)
     
  11. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    Like most of Australia, Perth has being doing very well over last 12-18 months, driven by government grants, government incentives, low ir, etc etc

    Recently I have noticed more supply coming to market in Perth and stats are showing this. I think around 8000 properties today, compared to i think around 12,000-13000. re agents stating same

    However, in saying this its still low, and there are many areas/suburbs where there is literally little/no stock which I guess will keep driving prices north

    These are the areas I would be buying into, I have mentioned a few on the Perth thread. Houses not units

    Perth is coming from a very low base compared to East, in particular Syd/Melb. This may be our edge??

    In saying this…. I don’t have a crystal ball

    I actually thought covid would kill the property market. I never expected government to print this much money, its global

    Will there be a great reset?? Just make sure we have buying power if/when this happens
     
  12. Luca

    Luca Well-Known Member

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    Talking to my mum today who is not into RE and currently lives in Italy: Luca "Prices are going nuts" Mum "Prices cannot go up forever, there will be an affordability issue at some point".

    REA I am in contact with is saying they are trying to make the vendors understand that expectations need to change, now is like next door sold at $1M, I can sell in 2 months time at $1.1M.

    I am close to getting my PPOR dream aside and keep investing. Let`s reassess in 2/3 years time.
     
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  13. Colin Rice

    Colin Rice Mortgage Broker Business Member

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    Ask that American dude by the name of Harry Dent ;)
     
  14. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    Its global

    I believe Turkey is number 1 for soaring property prices.

    I am still in the game, but I want to make sure I am cashed up for the share market crash on 15 May 2023;)
     
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  15. Colin Rice

    Colin Rice Mortgage Broker Business Member

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    It's possible that we are going to see hyperinflation in the future as a result, so those holding assets with manageable debt and decent cash flow will be the 'winners".
     
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  16. Luca

    Luca Well-Known Member

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    Yep, totally agree

    I don`t think there will be a crash, just a long flat line or minor corrections.
     
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  17. boganfromlogan

    boganfromlogan Well-Known Member

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    Oops we have a family birthday on that day. Can u slide it forward or backward one week.
     
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  18. bumskins

    bumskins Well-Known Member

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    Could cause a few issues for construction. Off the plan prices struggle to make sense at the best of times, what happens when growth is flat. Government subsidies?
     

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