Why Hasn't Brisbane BOOMED

Discussion in 'Property Market Economics' started by MTR, 28th Dec, 2016.

Join Australia's most dynamic and respected property investment community
Tags:
  1. gty12

    gty12 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    29th Jun, 2018
    Posts:
    243
    Location:
    Melbourne
    Makes a lot of what we do on Property Chat a bit inadequate if anywhere we buy gives a healthy year on year increase.
    what's the point in research then haha?
     
  2. Sackie

    Sackie Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    25,059
    Location:
    Vaucluse, Sydney.
    Personally I've made most of my money buying in the 6-9 o'clock regions of a cycle. By the time the boom or close to the boom comes/is reported/is reflected by stats, a lot of the good money is already off the table.
     
    Toon and Whitecat like this.
  3. Codie

    Codie Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    6th Mar, 2018
    Posts:
    1,623
    Location:
    Brisbane
    @Leo2413 Do you sell some stock once you’ve made your money towards the end of a cycle? Or do you hold onto everything? (Excluding your developments obviously)
     
  4. Sackie

    Sackie Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    25,059
    Location:
    Vaucluse, Sydney.
    Besides the stock I develop on my own and JVs, I generally hold onto all my assets. With the stuff we develop, I hold some (so the asset base is always expanding) and sell some. The ones I sell, part of that cash I splurge on lifestyle choices and the rest I reinvest into other projects.
     
    ellejay, Codie and Whitecat like this.
  5. MWI

    MWI Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    17th Jul, 2017
    Posts:
    2,294
    Location:
    Lower North Sydney NSW
    I know you are kidding!;)
    I wish to add another within inner BRI to our portfolio....
     
    Sackie and kierank like this.
  6. Rolf Latham

    Rolf Latham Inciteful (sic) Staff Member Business Plus Member

    Joined:
    14th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    10,653
    Location:
    Gold Coast (Australia Wide)
    you and lots of others

    ta
    rolf
     
  7. MWI

    MWI Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    17th Jul, 2017
    Posts:
    2,294
    Location:
    Lower North Sydney NSW
    Thanks Rolf,
    Have the finance in order, had it for a while and have around 2.5 years before needing to look at it, plus deposit, so just wishing to start young family members off. One invested at similar ages 18-19 years old so second one wants to do the same. Lucky me, the kids are continuing to build on....but are still young, single and also studying.
    Have started looking so time will tell...
     
  8. icic

    icic Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    16th Dec, 2016
    Posts:
    1,109
    Location:
    sydney
    a few studies have indicated that apartments in Brisbane have bottomed and are on the way up for a few months. One article has indicated that a 6 % gain is on the cards for next year. Any real observations to reinforce this vieew?
     
  9. Whitecat

    Whitecat Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    3rd Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    4,521
    Location:
    Sydney
    Rubbish. Not going to happen. If anything many will still be dropping. Still too much supply. Not going to see any good gains on high rise apartments for a long time. Except for some exceptions due to unique position or something.
     
    Gen-Y, ndpjai, icic and 2 others like this.
  10. Codie

    Codie Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    6th Mar, 2018
    Posts:
    1,623
    Location:
    Brisbane
    Trouble is all apartments are not created Equal in Brisbane, so many cookie cutter 50sqm high rise stock, think Hamilton/newstead/Southbank

    I think the smaller boutique blocks, walk up brick style or something with scarcity is a little more immune from the % falls, and will still have demand on going - think Tenerife woolshed, new farm small complex, potentially Bulimba 4-6 packs, city views and so on.
     
    L_91, Sackie, icic and 1 other person like this.
  11. icic

    icic Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    16th Dec, 2016
    Posts:
    1,109
    Location:
    sydney
    Thanks for the reply, just spoken to a couple of my agents, the rental and sale market has been stabilising for the last few months. The statistic and the sentiments has been improving. Still early days but if the oversupply monster has been tamed, then good days ahead for all Brissy property owners, not just the apartment owners.

    CoreLogic Home Property Value Index - Monthly Indices | CoreLogic
    Apartment growing the same yearly rate as house, and monthly movement is double houses. I know it's a broad statistic, nevertheless a positive indicator.

    Sunny Skies for Brisbane Apartment Market: Opinion
    A little bias in the positive side but are backed up by reasonable stats and facts.

    All properties are not created the same, so buyer has to do proper DD and market research before committing.
    But on the positive side, I really do think Brisbane unit market has bottomed with many bargains to be had. It is now at 6 clock of the property cycle and moving towards 7.
     
  12. Sackie

    Sackie Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    25,059
    Location:
    Vaucluse, Sydney.
    Its always 'markets within markets' where the best value/insights/opportunities are found.
     
  13. Whitecat

    Whitecat Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    3rd Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    4,521
    Location:
    Sydney
    I feel you are way too optimistic on apartments. I don't think you are going to see any growth on any apartment younger than 15 years old for quite a long time. Unless some really unique feature.
    Rising stats are otps settling.
     
    Sackie likes this.
  14. Sackie

    Sackie Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    25,059
    Location:
    Vaucluse, Sydney.
    I wouldnt be touching new and OTP apartments in Brissy now as investments . Not even with a 50 foot pole.
     
    kierank likes this.
  15. Noobieboy

    Noobieboy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    10th Aug, 2017
    Posts:
    2,172
    Location:
    Utopia
    I don’t see, however, any upside in apartments in that city anytime soon. I honestly cannot see any growth whatsoever. There is just so much developable space, even on river banks. I walked from Southbank to New Farm and there is just so much space that can be turned into high rise easily and with minimal effort. I don’t see a crash like many predicted but I don’t see any growth.
     
    Whitecat likes this.
  16. Clayton

    Clayton Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    21st Nov, 2016
    Posts:
    122
    Location:
    Melbourne
    Hey mate, understand & was always concerned with oversupply on units.. keen to know from ppl on thy ground if your thoughts on growth translate into townhouses in the Morningside area? As in interstate investor bought 3 years ago & seen no signs of that market increasing
     
  17. Sailesh Channan

    Sailesh Channan Member

    Joined:
    23rd Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    16
    Location:
    Brisbane
    Brisbane and surrounding cities are seeing big jumps in land prices by all developers. A 400sqm block in inner-city will cost well over $500k the outer suburbs of Brisbane are selling for over $1000/sqm.

    In Springfield, a 400sqm block is now around $290k while a 200sqm house will only cost around $210k for a full turnkey home. The market is evolving and you need to keep an eye on new opportunities.

    I have come across some new areas that are yet to boom and also has subdivision potential for around $400k.

    I have purchased a property and it is subdividable, and others like it may be available at the right price. A prominent developer is about to create 800 blocks of land and they will put a new road at the rear of my block. This means I don't have to do a battle ax subdivision anymore. The benefits are lower development cost, I don't lose land for the easement driveway and have both houses facing the street.

    The next step is to door knock the whole street and see who wants to sell and take advantage of the situation. I will project manage the development.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: 22nd Oct, 2018
  18. Sackie

    Sackie Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    25,059
    Location:
    Vaucluse, Sydney.
    And you're not worried about the supply side ?
     
  19. Sailesh Channan

    Sailesh Channan Member

    Joined:
    23rd Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    16
    Location:
    Brisbane
    Not really worried. As the 500sqm in the new subdivision will be selling for over $230k

    I purchased the original house for $400k in January this year.

    I can sell my existing house for $350 plus and I will be left with a 500sqm block that will sell for $230k and will also allow dual living if necessary. My expected profit will be around $100k after costs. The area I am working has not boomed so I also expect to see some appreciation over the next 5 years
     
    Last edited: 21st Oct, 2018
  20. Noobieboy

    Noobieboy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    10th Aug, 2017
    Posts:
    2,172
    Location:
    Utopia
    Nope I don’t. My OCD would kick in. Move over to Relevant thread sunshine! :D
     

PFI can assist you with your investment strategies for your SMSF, Life Cover for your members and assistance with compliance. We provide the research to ensure your investment selections achieve the goals. This is the value of advice