Was your risk management sufficient coming into Covid-19 Crisis?

Discussion in 'Property Market Economics' started by Blueskies, 20th Mar, 2020.

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  1. Trainee

    Trainee Well-Known Member

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    How much of peoples views of how bad the crisis is, is coloured by their immediate, personal circumstances?
     
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  2. The Y-man

    The Y-man Moderator Staff Member

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    Good question! I think for me at least - "A lot!!"

    It doesn't quite feel as bad as
    • both of us still working (from home)
    • No kids to worry about (school etc)
    • Rent mostly coming in (as per above)
    • No one we know has died from covid 19 although a family memebr nearly dies from pneumonia and another form a spinal infection :eek:
    So in a way, the whole thing feels rather surreal.

    The Y-man
     
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  3. wylie

    wylie Moderator Staff Member

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    I think that is a good call. I think it is probably true enough, especially when being locked down means we only see what we choose to watch or listen to. We are not seeing the real world outside our door, outside what we know of the situation of our families and friends.
     
  4. Trainee

    Trainee Well-Known Member

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    If you are losing business, lost your job, had your portfolio hit, tenants arent paying and have no cash, its easy to just see the negative applying to everything.

    But your own situation, even of those around you, arent relevant unless they apply to a lot of people.

    If you keep your job, have cash etc, then a crash is a good thing for you personally.
     
  5. wylie

    wylie Moderator Staff Member

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    I agree with your post but not the last sentence. I don’t see a crash as being good for me - (or anybody really).
     
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  6. Angel

    Angel Well-Known Member

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    No, a crash is not good for the vast majority of the people.
     
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  7. Hebro

    Hebro Well-Known Member

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    I remember an economics professor at uni, a fair while ago, talking about the great depression
    if you had a good job you were relatively better off, asset values declining, etc
    purchasing power increasing
    winners and losers
     
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  8. Hebro

    Hebro Well-Known Member

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    and back to the topic
    with the immediate Covid panic, I did not think our risk management was sufficient

    but as things have settled down, we are not doing too badly, tenants still paying, going ahead with a couple of builds

    accepting that prices may decline say 20% and take 5 years to get back, but interest rates are so low, so who knows?

    immigration and population growth forecasts are something to watch, but I think a lot of people still want to live in Australia (again everything is relative)
     
  9. Gockie

    Gockie Life is good ☺️ Premium Member

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    A crash is good for some if you aren't affected, and can take advantage of it. If you have bucketloads of money, you can buy assets cheaply.
    The uncertainly isn't a good thing though, and we won't know how bad this will be until it's over.
     
  10. wylie

    wylie Moderator Staff Member

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    I’ll be really honest and say I wouldn’t buy from someone in trouble. I might be odd or stupid but I just wouldn’t feel good.
     
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  11. Gockie

    Gockie Life is good ☺️ Premium Member

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    Shares are anonymous.
    The other thing is, if a person is desperate, if you buy from them you might save them from even worse pain. I don't like taking advantage of anybody either btw. If I've seen something on Gumtree way too cheap I might message them saying it's too cheap, or if I think it's worth more than what they ask I might just pay them what I think is fair, could be double what they are asking.
     
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  12. TAJ

    TAJ Well-Known Member

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    Immigration is the last thing, we as a country, should be considering. With what has gone on worldwide, a rigorous evaluation is required to the cause and effect of such policy!
    Along with Australia being partially isolated from the rest of the world due to being an island, it is pretty evident that those with hemmed in populations haven't fared too well.
    Having more people to deal with in catastrophic situations is certainly not ideal.
     
  13. HUGH72

    HUGH72 Well-Known Member

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    Other than being stuck working interstate for a couple of months I'm otherwise unaffected. I've actually had a short term pay rise however with potentially 1.5 million unemployed and 5m on job keeper this will affect everyone. We just don't know it yet.
     
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  14. kierank

    kierank Well-Known Member

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    Especially us old pensioners.