US Fed Increases 0.25%...game changer?

Discussion in 'Loans & Mortgage Brokers' started by sash, 17th Dec, 2015.

Join Australia's most dynamic and respected property investment community
  1. sash

    sash Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    15,663
    Location:
    Sydney
    Interesting...overnight the US Fed just raised rates....this reduces the chance of another IR rate drop in Australia as the dollar will drop and economy here will get better......

    Interesting....will also be interesting for people who own properties in the US....
     
  2. Superbird

    Superbird Member

    Joined:
    29th Nov, 2015
    Posts:
    15
    Location:
    Sydney
    Well our dollar didn't drop. In fact, it went up during the announcement!

    The rba will cut again next year. The budget is in a terrible position and we desperately need economic growth.
     
  3. Dmarkw

    Dmarkw Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    9th Aug, 2015
    Posts:
    146
    Location:
    Sydney
    I think we've seen the end of easing cycle, absent of a significantly detrimental economic event. RBA has noted the diminishing returns from further cuts and market distortions that may arise.

    Reason for the rise after the announcement is more to do with oil which bounced, and brought up commodity prices with it.

    Budget is poor, but current debt levels nowhere near as other OECD countries.
     
  4. Tranquilo

    Tranquilo Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    469
    Location:
    Mascot
    If the economy gets better will that stop house prices dropping as much as people expected?
     
  5. sash

    sash Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    15,663
    Location:
    Sydney
    Maybe....but if the economy performs...rates could also go up quickly....I am already planning to fix some of my loans.....
     
  6. 2FAST4U

    2FAST4U Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    3rd Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    2,304
    Location:
    Democratic People's Republic of Australia
    About time they raised interest rates in the USA. They've been speculating about it for ages, but the positive employment numbers cemented it.
     
  7. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    27,858
    Location:
    My World
    Its been 9 years, long time between drinks that is for sure
     
  8. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    27,858
    Location:
    My World
    the dollar has bounced back, it hit I think 68-69, now 72.
    Predictions are 65?? don't know anymore, was expecting this by now
     
  9. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    27,858
    Location:
    My World
    Hi Sash

    Interesting times.

    Regardless USA property market (foreclosures) has recovered.

    You can no longer source houses in Atlanta for $35K, you will be looking at around $130K. Friend just sourced finance on her properties and bank valuations were excellent, highest at I think $210K.

    I am going to US next year as am seeing further opportunities.
    Keep you posted.

    MTR:)
     
    Property Twins likes this.
  10. Timkot

    Timkot Active Member

    Joined:
    28th Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    34
    Location:
    gladstone
    there will be very limited interest rate increases in USA, It is election year and generally speaking it would be very damaging to the incumbents for interest rates to go up, so from .25 to say 1 percent is a big percentage increase. Very bad news for incumbents.
     
    MTR likes this.
  11. Vixs

    Vixs Member

    Joined:
    18th Sep, 2015
    Posts:
    18
    Location:
    QLD
    The increase in interest rates was overdue and well and truly expected, so currency impact was already largely priced in. If anything they were more conservative with their emphasis on a gradual tightening cycle than people may have expected.

    I just look forward to a return to a world where good news results in good market reactions and bad news results in bad market reactions. The effect QE had was the opposite - celebration of bad news as it would result in more fake money being pumped into markets, and punishing markets for good news as it meant the magic money tap would get turned down.
     
    Banister likes this.
  12. sash

    sash Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    15,663
    Location:
    Sydney
    And that is the issue...people have got so used to low rates and easy money...if this changes....the shock waves will be felt.
     
  13. wogitalia

    wogitalia Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    28th Oct, 2015
    Posts:
    872
    Location:
    Perth
    Sure would be nice to be able to put money in the bank and actually get something back for the first time since my Dollarmites account...
     
    Josh84 and wategos like this.
  14. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    27,858
    Location:
    My World
    but many have bad credit due to crash/foreclosures

    Times are changing, US banks are now lending to home owners, let's see what happens, me thinks one step forward two steps backwards
     
  15. dabbler

    dabbler Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    8,572
    Location:
    Sid en e - olympic city
    Think this has been talked about so much that it was already done, our minerals will do more than the US change, but was thinking about money costs and further tightening.

    Frankly, I cannot see how the economy is doing better, are they lowering the deficit ?
     
  16. Omnidragon

    Omnidragon Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    17th Oct, 2015
    Posts:
    1,693
    Location:
    Victoria
    Australia's in a highly risky position now, especially on an inflation and interest rate outlook. I'd be hesitant about going too hard too fast from this point.
     
    MTR likes this.
  17. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    27,858
    Location:
    My World
    I think this is what I have been saying
     
  18. dabbler

    dabbler Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    8,572
    Location:
    Sid en e - olympic city
    Interest rates, yes, maybe due to costs and less money and regulation, inflation ? of what, besides housing ?