to sell or not ? advice please from some people who have had hindsight!!

Discussion in 'Investment Strategy' started by yorkie, 19th Jul, 2016.

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  1. The Y-man

    The Y-man Moderator Staff Member

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    Hi @yorkie

    I don't have any specific intel in Lilydale - people like @Brendon would be on the ground - I guess my point is it's dangerous to lump ANY suburb of melbourne (given its market diversity) with a generic "all of melbourne" stat or view.

    Quite a few members of this forum familiar with the area BTW too.

    From a purely personal view, Lilydale is a heap better than some other suburbs given the price push from Mooroolbark etc and also the fact it has a train.


    The Y-man
     
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  2. wylie

    wylie Moderator Staff Member

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    @Christina46 that sounds right according to what we were told too.
     
  3. yorkie

    yorkie Well-Known Member

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    hi wylie,
    i think once started in vic it gives you 2 years to complete.
     
  4. yorkie

    yorkie Well-Known Member

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    it does seem to be rippling out that way may be worth watching it for a few months to see if any indication..... could do with a cristyal ball at this point......
     
  5. Brendon

    Brendon Well-Known Member

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    Prices out this way have definitely gone crazy over the last couple of years, will they keep going up or stop? I have no idea, everyone keeps saying it can't go on but it seems too!

    The yeild on your property seems great for the area (especially for a property with development potential) most subdividable blocks would rent for around $360-380 pw at a guess.

    The only thing you have to be careful of is letting the planning permit lapse as the council may have got stricter since you had your plans approved (things like detention systems can add large amounts to build costs) which could affect if you choose to sell in the future.

    If you do sell now I would just be careful that you leave enough time for settlement and the new owner to get the tenants out (90 days) and start the development.

    Not trying to talk you into selling at all, prices are definitely still climbing and demand is definitely there, I would just be careful letting the Plans expire.
    I have pmed you also
     
  6. yorkie

    yorkie Well-Known Member

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    Hi brendon,
    Address is Carmen ct.lilydale.
    Happy for you to drive by just be mindful there are tenants in both. If you email me i can send a plan for you to look at if interested.
    Plans expire end of june next year. Tenants have about 4 months left on current lease.
    Spoke with council today and they're happy if its started well prior to the end and can be finished after the end date.
    Let me know yours thoughts. Agents are keen and priced $550k- upwards
    Ta wayne
     
  7. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    Do you know or investigate how many units would fit on this block
     
  8. Omnidragon

    Omnidragon Well-Known Member

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    All depends what you can do with the money. Sure it may double again in 5 years.

    Or you could've put it into gold stocks 4 months ago and tripled your money already. In fact some have gone up 5-6x.
     
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  9. sanj

    sanj Well-Known Member Premium Member

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    You need to be guided by the numbers. How much will you have in hand after selling fees and cgt now vs how much equity or cash (if u sell then) youll have at the end of going through the exercise of building. Then take into account the risk and time factor.

    Without those figures its guesswork
     
  10. big max

    big max Well-Known Member

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    At that yield no way would I sell.
     
  11. sanj

    sanj Well-Known Member Premium Member

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    Even if you had more money that could be made elsewhere?

    As @Omnidragon stated it comes down to allocation of capital and the opportunity cost of not selling and deploying that elsewhere. This is important to consider, along with having the figures i mentioned in above post, in order to make an informed and strategix decision on whether to sell or not
     
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  12. Colin Rice

    Colin Rice Mortgage Broker Business Member

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    Why do you have to sell it?

    Are the numbers guiding you or is it emotion.

    I live on the sunny side of this country so not familair with the locale but whats been already discussed plus my gut instinct says keep it!
     
  13. big max

    big max Well-Known Member

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    Yes agree of course
     
  14. yorkie

    yorkie Well-Known Member

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    Hi all,
    Thanks for all the input and sage advice and i have had time to dwell on the fact and will keep it. The yield is terrific and not going to better that without a lot of effort and time, of which i don't have with 2 young kids......
    Thankyou all for helping me to see the trees in the woods.
     
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