VIC Thoughts on these Corio / Norlane Properties

Discussion in 'Where to Buy' started by Nige12, 11th Jul, 2017.

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  1. Connor

    Connor Well-Known Member

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    All this talk about subdivision in Norlane and Corio is great, I love development :)
    But there is an elephant in the room.... Cost!

    The development figures just don't work. Even for a simple backyard sub division where you keep the front house and build in the rear, there's just no margin in it.

    Here's an example:

    Purchase a subdividable property for 320k including costs.

    Build a new dwelling for say 200k finished.

    Allow 20k for reno of existing house and interest costs

    Project owes you 540k,

    Even using these very conservative figures, you'd need to sell each home for 270k each just to break even. (without factoring in selling costs)

    The end values for just don't stack up. And for a modest 540k project you at least want a 20% profit for efforts.

    Has anyone done this and turned a profit?
     
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  2. RetireRich101

    RetireRich101 Well-Known Member

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    maybe acquire and hold the property and build in 12-18months time?
    isn't H&L operate similar?
     
  3. sash

    sash Well-Known Member

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    Ditto mate....i constantly get asked about chasing the rainbow on devie sites.....the easiest thing is H+L.

    Why...because the cost of putting a house on a subdivided block is huge. Add another 40-50k per house just for development approvals, extra services provision etc.

    In places like Norlane...it just does not stack up...why not go to Torquay instead pay the 300k minimum for a block..put a 4x2x2 for say 240k and sell for 650k plus....

    As you said a devie block in Norlane will set you back say 280k minimum...add to that cost of two small say 16sq dwellings..that would add 420k....are people sayin' that 350k is now the new norm for a new small house in Norlane? No chance!

     
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  4. Connor

    Connor Well-Known Member

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    Exactly, no councils to deal with, no painful neighbours, no objections....just straight forward builds...and with devie type margins it's been too good to resist.
     
  5. Connor

    Connor Well-Known Member

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    H&L it's possible to secure a 10-15% margin on the buy in...meaning comparable products are selling that much more.
    If the market rises great....if not you still have that margin.

    Devie sites you tend to pay a premium...hoping it goes up to realise a dev profit isnt ideal. Numbers need to work in the market you're buying in.
     
  6. Steve90

    Steve90 Active Member

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    ohh and dave, may be a bit late to search elsewhere haha, i meant in my first post have i paid too much for it. ahh well hopefully the area continues to go up :)

     
  7. Steve90

    Steve90 Active Member

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    but sash even in a market where it doesn't gain capital value over that time cant you for example
    property 400k
    subdivide and building 200k
    600k total costs

    sell front unit for 300
    keep back one as its new and you can claim depreciation and rent out for about 320

    so with the remainder 300k debt you have, you have a property paying a bit over 5% return with depreciation claims and everything?

    you're starting to make me like these h and l packages though, I've never considered them before propertychat

     
  8. Connor

    Connor Well-Known Member

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    But why would you do this? Go to all the trouble and expense/risk to plan, build, subdivide...and not make anything?

    The goal in developing is to make a capital profit. Rental yield is a way distant second and depreciation while nice, really shouldn't influence you decision to develop.

    I agree with what you saying though, you be well ahead doing a straight H&L build.
     
  9. sash

    sash Well-Known Member

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    OK...so lets say you buy a place in Newcomb for 400k...subdivide and renovate front and sell for 340k.

    Here are the numbers:

    1. Old house with land plus stamps/legals - 416k
    2. Reno of old house - 22k
    3. Subdivide/new house/ extra infra - 210k
    4. Sell costs of old house - 12k

    So total costs 660k

    Sell new house is probably worth 80k more at 400k....

    A H&L is much less hassle and you can make the same amount without blinking..if you buy the right block...profit is more like 100k

     
  10. RetireRich101

    RetireRich101 Well-Known Member

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    is there are need to renovate the house to blend in the new? i know Perth needs, not sure about VIC

    is there a need to sell old house, though you have the option to to sell now, keep for 1-2 years, or keep forever.

    if not renovating and selling, could save you 35k.

    is there a need to strata title/subdivision (not sure of VIC requirement), as you could potentially leave in one title to reduce out going expenses....title when you ready to sell, assuming you don't need to go aggressive with bank releasing equity as valuation could be a concern.

    the land plot/property you chose, is there room for a duplex or 2 standalone new dwelling instead of 1 new dwelling? chose bigger land or RGZ?

    if Melbourne tide lifts Geelong, you have 2 titled dwelling, possible 3 ...so bigger your bet? lol

    it's lot of work yes, but better than boring H&L lol
     
  11. Connor

    Connor Well-Known Member

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    Once you've dealt with councils, multiple planners with differing opinions, surveyors, civil engineers, development resistant neighbors, VCAT tribunals, plan substitutions, unexpected site costs etc.... And for similar development levels of profit to H&L.... I'd take the 'boring' way any day.
     
  12. Steve90

    Steve90 Active Member

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    oh bro i agree, I'm just trying to justify my purchase and rectify it in my head lol.
    just need to hope norlane goes up now, seeing its similar distance to Pakenham from melbourne but also close to a beach and geelong city, lets hope it keeps going up and up.

    and guys when you do the geelong dinner meetup, id be keen to come along and say hi, feel like i know alot of you already from all the posts I've read
     
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  13. Steve90

    Steve90 Active Member

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    I've never done developments clearly but surely it isnt that much of a hassle is it?
     
  14. Connor

    Connor Well-Known Member

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    Some councils are harder than others, but every dev is unique and unexpected circumstances do happen. Cost blowouts are ridiculous when the unforeseen occurs and you have to engage advocates, traffic engineers, arborist's etc

    For the risk vs reward, H&L has definitely been a safer bet in Melb at the current market.
     
  15. Melmac

    Melmac Well-Known Member

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  16. Jimmylt

    Jimmylt Well-Known Member

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    Thanks Sash. As a keen follower of the Geelong market, I must admit I've had a bit of FOMO in regards to Norlane. But this post reminds me exactly why I went down the H&L path a few years ago.
    That's not to say there's not money to be made in Norlane, although the people that bought there 2 or 3 years ago will be the ones making most of it. But sub dividing blocks out there isn't for me.
     
  17. sash

    sash Well-Known Member

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    The other thing people are not considering is that most locals won't live there....if they could help it....there are other areas which are much better.
     
  18. Lions4Eva

    Lions4Eva Well-Known Member

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    +1 to the geelong dinner meetup, I'll do my best to make time GTown!

    I think that house falls in an area within Corio that is considered very rough, and has a noticeably active housing commission that has drawn comparisons to Solar Drive in Whittington. Not great for investing. :p
     
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  19. MikeyBallarat

    MikeyBallarat Well-Known Member

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    @Melmac the words were taken right out of my mouth! Corio is a huge suburb, and that particular pocket has a rough reputation. Almost all Corio's active housing commission area is located over there in that pocket.

    Edit: I shouldn't generalise, I've met the family that lives next door to that property, and they seem nice enough.
     
    Last edited: 11th Sep, 2017
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  20. Steve90

    Steve90 Active Member

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    mate that fomo is real, every week id be putting in offers or getting outbid, you start to feel like you're going to miss out and before you know it you're offering more than what you planned with something that you weren't originally going for. what do you guys think this will go foe? I'm guessing/hoping about 390k
    17 Brooks Street Norlane Vic 3214 17 Brooks Street Norlane Vic 3214 - House for Sale #126385498 - realestate.com.au