QLD Sunnybank, Sunnybank Hills, Runcorn - some hard numbers

Discussion in 'Where to Buy' started by jaybean, 7th Sep, 2015.

Join Australia's most dynamic and respected property investment community
  1. jaybean

    jaybean Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    20th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    4,752
    Location:
    Here!
    We all know there are markets within markets. We always hear about Brisbane-wide (or worse, SE QLD-wide) stats, but it's never easy to get specific suburb stats. You probably all know me as being a big fan of the Sunnybank and surrounding areas so now I have some stats to backup my enthusiasm...

    I can't take credit for this btw - it all comes from QMT (credit where credit is due), except for the following analysis, that's all mine:

    My analysis / observations:
    • In the last 18 years, there have only been 2-4 years with negative growth. And of those, at least half of those were a result of a freak incident (the 2011 flood)
    • Notice the market takes off in 2002 - for reference, the Sydney boom ended in 2003, which supports the trend that Brisbane generally takes off after Sydney
    • Notice how the boom always hits Sunnybank first and trickles out to Sunnybank Hills and Runcorn as people get priced out - again something I and other investors here have been saying for a while (compare 2002 - 2004 Sunnybank with the other two, notice both the magnitude and the 1 year delay)
    • Notice the dwindling stock levels in the second chart - this is good news for price growth...it's cheaper to buy, but on the flip side it's also cheaper for vendors to hold on as well
    • Also notice the peak sales periods are the start of Spring and towards the end of Summer (third chart). We're just entering Spring now! Hold onto your hats ladies and gentlemen...
    Enjoy.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: 7th Sep, 2015
    Tranquilo, gman65, Tekoz and 3 others like this.
  2. Befuddled

    Befuddled Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    426
    Location:
    Sydney
    Very nice write up. How did you get the data? Can't seem to find it by googling
     
    HUGH72 likes this.
  3. jaybean

    jaybean Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    20th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    4,752
    Location:
    Here!
    QMT Realty, got it from one of their staff.
     
  4. Befuddled

    Befuddled Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    426
    Location:
    Sydney
    Ah. Was hoping it'd be readily available on their website...
     
  5. dan2101

    dan2101 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    8th Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    586
    Location:
    NSW
    Cheers for the info mate! It's good already being in the market for once and sitting back waiting for what happens!
     
  6. jaybean

    jaybean Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    20th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    4,752
    Location:
    Here!
    Me too, there are 3-4 other suburbs I'd like this data on but they didn't have it. She sent me all she had.
     
  7. Jaik2012

    Jaik2012 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    96
    Location:
    Sydney
    Nice stats. Any similar reports for units (my interest in villas/townhouses) ?
     
  8. jaybean

    jaybean Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    20th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    4,752
    Location:
    Here!
    Sorry unfortunately not.
     
  9. Jaik2012

    Jaik2012 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    96
    Location:
    Sydney
    Ok. Have a question though for all the experienced investors...historic graphs for units of some suburbs seem to have missing data b/w 2010 & 2012 on realestate.com.au? Any idea why is that? Example suburb is Acacia Ridge in Brisbane..there's many more like this
     
  10. Befuddled

    Befuddled Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    426
    Location:
    Sydney
    Thanks for sharing anyway
     
  11. mcarthur

    mcarthur Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    761
    Location:
    ACT
    The graphics make it look like Pricefinder screens.
    I've just done some analysis on a set of suburbs to see if the ripple effect is really visible... still analysing...
     
  12. Rixter

    Rixter Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    573
    Location:
    Portfolio Perth Brisbane Sydney Melbourne
    Just discovered thanks to Shawn, you'l find that format by googling.... PDSlive, Property Data Solutions currently known as Pricefinder. It's a paid subscription but they offer that free suburb flyover feature of many contained in this tool that I've been using for the past 13 years.
     
    Last edited: 8th Sep, 2015
    skuzy, Befuddled and Tekoz like this.
  13. Tekoz

    Tekoz Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    23rd Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    1,374
    Location:
    Sydney
    Cool, thank for sharing it here mate :D.
     
  14. Aaronjod

    Aaronjod Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    80
    Location:
    Sydney
    Lets hype Sunnybank & surrounding thread.. sounds good to me :D I just bought. Although TH data would be great..
    As Rick said, looks like Pricefinder data.
     
  15. JDP1

    JDP1 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    4,244
    Location:
    Brisbane
    Why not :)
    There already are so many hype brisbane threads..., North, South, Logan, etc...rename PC to BrisbaneChat
     
    Aaronjod likes this.
  16. DCI

    DCI New Member

    Joined:
    1st Sep, 2015
    Posts:
    4
    Location:
    Brisbane
    Sunnybank doesn't actually need Brisbane to rise for it price to move up.
    It has it's own driving forces that being rich Chinese buyers...
    but a little extra heat won't hurt. :rolleyes:
     
  17. dan2101

    dan2101 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    8th Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    586
    Location:
    NSW
    Just had a quick look at runcorn. Nothing much under 500k (that isn't a main road or 300sqm block) for sale. Good signs, when I was looking a couple of months ago there was still quite a few.
     
  18. Catalyst

    Catalyst Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    310
    Location:
    Perth
    @Rixter what other Pricefinder features did you use?
     
  19. D'Mo

    D'Mo Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    23rd Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    147
    Location:
    Sydney
    great stats.. would be interesting to see some similar info on Algester if your able to get any?
     
  20. Rixter

    Rixter Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    573
    Location:
    Portfolio Perth Brisbane Sydney Melbourne
    Catalyst likes this.

Buy Property Interstate WITHOUT Dropping $15k On Buyers Agents Each Time! Helping People Achieve PASSIVE INCOME Using Our Unique Data-Driven System, So You Can Confidently Buy Top 5% Growth & Cashflow Property, Anywhere In Australia