Property Predictions - 2018

Discussion in 'Property Market Economics' started by MTR, 6th Sep, 2017.

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  1. Cactus

    Cactus Well-Known Member

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    Wowsers. That some serious budget. Maybe a bris thing.

    For me I spend $20k on consult, $50k int and subdivision costs are included in my build cost.

    But you must be doing some high end stuff.
     
  2. melbournian

    melbournian Well-Known Member

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    a lot of ppl don't - they just generalize esp stats as really there are too many variables in play. the worst is comparing states and suburbs as not everything is equal. because some surburbs boomed in sydney does not mean it will boom in other suburbs in SEQ and likewise just because WA had a fall due to mining and population booms and subsequent overbuild does not mean VIC will fall as they are not attracting population due to mining. Each to their own race that is what I think.
     
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  3. Sackie

    Sackie Well-Known Member

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    haha I have a lot extra in there for contingency because the site may need more site works than usual given the slope. Also some hefty trees to remove which I know wont be cheap...
     
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  4. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    Who knows? how a particular market will react. However, Land and house package territory is far more vulnerable to market corrections.
     
  5. JDP1

    JDP1 Well-Known Member

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    i would agree, and id add that a lot of people just look at the entire state performance and generalise everything in the state based on what they hear the state is doing...as if the entire state property markets behave all in exactly the same way.
     
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  6. Tifoso

    Tifoso Well-Known Member

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    Always best to plan and budget for worst case!
     
  7. Angel

    Angel Well-Known Member

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    Sorry but Chermside is churning out horrid - looking apartments, with horrid traffic congestion.

    OOps, Chermside is AAAMMAzinnngg, Ddaaarrlliinngs.

    Depends on what rocks your boat, I suppose.
     
  8. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    just cos a suburb is flying need to pay attention to what product is in demand
     
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  9. Sackie

    Sackie Well-Known Member

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  10. RetireRich101

    RetireRich101 Well-Known Member

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    they're actually selling Chermside OTP in Sydney's Blacktown Westpoint...

    upload_2017-9-10_17-27-22.png
     
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  11. Sackie

    Sackie Well-Known Member

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    Good place to sell it. Different state so people have no idea of values, supply and demand and it also looks cheap compared to Sydney prices and oh so close to the CBD.
     
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  12. Erica

    Erica Well-Known Member

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    I'll put my 2 cents in on 2018 Adelaide metropolitan market prediction- just slow and steady growth, same as this year.

    For detached houses:
    inner ring (5km from CBD) 5-7%
    middle ring (5-10km from CBD) 3-5%
    outer 0-3%

    For Units: 0-3% everywhere

    I'd love to hear other peeps thought on Adelaide prospects...
     
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  13. radson

    radson Well-Known Member

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    You may enjoy reading this article

    Nocookies
     
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  14. JDP1

    JDP1 Well-Known Member

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    Yeah probably.. But what's driving that?
    Economic performance - unlikely
    Immigration - unlikely
    ....
    Affordability (and unaffordable elsewhere) - likely
     
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  15. Mick Butterfield

    Mick Butterfield Well-Known Member

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    That is a really interesting article. Thank you for sharing.
     
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  16. RetireRich101

    RetireRich101 Well-Known Member

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    Adelaide is the boring and steady. no bumps along the way. usually 5-7% and takes 10-13 years to double. Some people like them for SANF.
     
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  17. sash

    sash Well-Known Member

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    i must agree on this front very similar to lower socio Loga. Great stuff to draw the parallel. :)
     
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  18. ashchay

    ashchay Member

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    What do people think about the Central Coast?
     
  19. RIBA

    RIBA Member

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    I'm buyers agent from Melbroune, my predictions for 2018: As long as
    a) interest rates remain low,
    b) migration remains high,
    c) unemployment rate remains the same.
    d) Medina house price in Melbourne remains lower than Sydney.
    e) Donald trump and Kim Jung On don't do something stupid!

    The market will continue to grow. At what rate is anyone guess. Most of my investment customers are from all states and expats around that world. Melbroune is proving to be great value for many types of investors even though Melbourne locals disagree.

    Mark Ribarsky
     
    Last edited by a moderator: 20th Oct, 2017
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  20. DowntownBlock

    DowntownBlock Well-Known Member

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    Would you like to apply any more caveats / disclaimers? :)

    Your first point is the most important one...

    Interest rates are at 5000yr lows globally? Only way is up unfortunately... already started rising in USA