Perth’s property prices continue to slump

Discussion in 'Property Market Economics' started by Simon_S, 30th Nov, 2017.

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  1. Simon_S

    Simon_S Well-Known Member

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    Its not looking real good in Perth atm

    I have never been a fan of the Motley Fools so is anyone seeing something different on the ground down there?
     
    muller23 likes this.
  2. Ross Forrester

    Ross Forrester Well-Known Member

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    I agree with the above. Activity up - still lots of stock (compared to a long run average).
     
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  3. Perthguy

    Perthguy Well-Known Member

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    I can't speak for the whole Perth market but the areas I track still appear to be falling although prices may be stabilising. It's too early to tell if the markets I track have bottomed out. There is plenty of discounting going on.

    Do a search on "Perth - Greater Region" with a keyword "reduced"

    Showing 1 - 20 of 888 total results

    Do a search on "Perth - Greater Region" with a keyword "reduction"

    Showing 1 - 20 of 286 total results

    Sure, there will be some false positives but that is a lot of property being reduced to get a sale.

    Prices are down.
     
  4. hammer

    hammer Well-Known Member

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    Has the number of listings dropped or risen?
     
  5. Simon_S

    Simon_S Well-Known Member

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    Considering he also states:

    Its not looking good then.
     
  6. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    One word.......price sensitive, get this wrong and they wont sell its that simple, buyers have choice

    No clear indication that Perth market has turned a corner yet
     
  7. Perthguy

    Perthguy Well-Known Member

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    Increased slightly from the same week last year.

    Properties Listed for Sale

    Total:15,015
    4 weeks ago:14,148
    Same week last year:15,770

    Perth Median House Prices, Sales Volume and Rental Market Data - REIWA

    There is an urban myth that 12,000 in Perth represents a balanced market.

    If you have a look at the graph on that page you can see prices have been steadily falling since Dec 2104. There is actually no sign that prices are levelling out yet.
     
  8. Simon_S

    Simon_S Well-Known Member

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    With rates rising it may push that corner further away than it already is.
     
  9. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    If market was strong I would be developing property in Perth, sadly nothing is stacking up

    Interest rate rises wont help

    As for those looking for bargains, good luck, I am sitting and waiting for clear indications that we are in recovery mode.

    First sign of this is when we will see volume come down
     
  10. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    I believe balanced market is around 12,000?
    In 2013/14 it hit around 7000.....boom
     
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  11. Skilled_Migrant

    Skilled_Migrant Well-Known Member

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    HTW has Perth reaching bottom ....for quite some time now...Are we there yet ? :p

    But seriously what are the options for recently cashed up buyers from Sydney now ? Perth, Darwin or Brisbane...For some reason Geelong is not on list...

    upload_2017-11-30_20-2-47.png
     
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  12. Simon_S

    Simon_S Well-Known Member

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    Hey Skilled interested to know what the time component is between intervals. Say from peak of market to bottom of market.
     
  13. Scaphella

    Scaphella Well-Known Member

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    Perth rental market starting to recover
    28 November 2017

    Perth’s rental market appears to be recovering, with new reiwa.com data revealing improvements in leasing activity and listing levels during the September quarter.

    REIWA President Hayden Groves said leasing activity increased 4.7 per cent over the quarter, while listings for rent declined 9.5 per cent.

    “The Perth rental market has improved over the last year. Where we were previously experiencing low leasing levels and high listings, that trend has now reversed. Properties for rent are declining and leasing activity is strong,” Mr Groves said.

    reiwa.com data shows leasing activity increased in all five sub-regions over the quarter.

    “The North-West sub-region was the stand-out, with activity up 9.8 per cent, followed by the North East sub-region with a 4.4 per cent increase. At a suburb level, Hillarys, Ridgewood, Attadale and Bibra Lake were the biggest improvers,” Mr Groves said.

    Perth rent prices
    Perth’s overall median rent price remained at $350 per week in the September quarter.

    “After a sustained period of declining rent prices, it’s encouraging to see Perth’s median rent remain stable over the last two quarters,” Mr Groves said.

    “With three key indicators of Perth’s rental market improving or stabilising, landlords and property investors can be confident the market has turned a corner. We expect these positive trends will continue as demand for rentals exceeds the number of properties available for lease.”
     
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  14. Skilled_Migrant

    Skilled_Migrant Well-Known Member

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    No Idea mate...but have heard property experts can pick bottoms better than noses...wanted to see who would call Perth's bottom and how ?....

    Edit: Bottoms = Property bottoms
     
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  15. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    Sit on your hands and wait and watch

    Darwin still a basket case

    Brisbane too early, watch volume fall then jump in?

    Geelong its already moved? How long does it have? Whats the Sweet spot

    Tassie appears to be a rising market, however investors seem to be reluctant to jump into this market. Not one of the majors and possibly due to size of economy/pop

    What about Canberra?

    Get your leads from PC but dont rely solely on this
    Phone lots of agents on the ground to work out what is selling/product and to gage the market
     
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  16. Skilled_Migrant

    Skilled_Migrant Well-Known Member

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    This^^ .....Not many are willing to say...
     
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  17. Kev-wa

    Kev-wa Member

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    PerthDemand_10M.JPG

    Perth property sales over the last eleven or so months, I wouldn't say there's a turnaround quite yet.
     
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  18. Kev-wa

    Kev-wa Member

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    PropertyForSale.JPG

    Number of properties listed with REIWA over the same period
     
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  19. sanj

    sanj Well-Known Member Premium Member

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    Yeah nah, not many who know what they're talking about would agree with that report
     
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  20. sanj

    sanj Well-Known Member Premium Member

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    Sorry but if you're relying on broad stats often 3 months after the fact to be the determining sign it if the market has improved or not you'll always be the investor a year late to the party either way, who missed out the massive bargains and short term gains from buying during this transition period and similarly misses out on selling during the good times by waiting until the reports confirm theyre over
     
    DoubleD likes this.

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