VIC Mickleham's booming property prices

Discussion in 'Where to Buy' started by andyboiii, 2nd Aug, 2017.

Join Australia's most dynamic and respected property investment community
  1. Air_Bender

    Air_Bender Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    9th Jan, 2016
    Posts:
    691
    Location:
    Melbourne
    As per Connor's comment you can definitely find something in Melton but I would strongly advise against buying land out there. Too many estates are popping up and there's a lot of empty land out there. I doubt you will see any decent growth in these estates for quite some time.

    If your budget is $400k then why not consider buying an existing property? You can still find something decent close to the shops and train station.
     
  2. arunricky

    arunricky Active Member

    Joined:
    17th Feb, 2017
    Posts:
    25
    Location:
    Sydney
    I am looking in Wyndham Vale. Will try to look up land in Melton as well.
     
  3. andyboiii

    andyboiii Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    29th Nov, 2016
    Posts:
    438
    Location:
    Melbourne
    Not too sure about that, but I have my eye on Botanical. It's a new one and starting price is very very good.
     
  4. arunricky

    arunricky Active Member

    Joined:
    17th Feb, 2017
    Posts:
    25
    Location:
    Sydney
    I would prefer something that I can buy now as I can get finance arranged right away but if I buy a land which will register a year then I might have to sit on it for few months before building if wife goes to leave for little while.
    My concern is that Melbourne market have gone up so much whether there is any steam left for existing houses to go further up. Ofcourse I am planning for long term and I can stretch upto 500K if it is possible to get a decent yield.
     
    MTR likes this.
  5. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    27,859
    Location:
    My World
    Spot on.
    I was building 4 land and house packages pa in the Perth booming market in 2001, waiting 6 months for titles, great if you buy in the early stages of the development less risk, the thing to be mindful of is the fact that booms don't last forever regardless, I wish they did.

    Land and house packages are vulnerable when markets turn because its the same cookie cutter product and when people stop buying there will immediately be an over supply of land and the same product. My suggestion is have an exit plan if you get caught in the middle of a build, it can get ugly if you have over committed and be prepared to hold for the next cycle, which could be years away.

    Immigration is only one factor to consider. Not saying the market is going to crash, however I do think the Melb market will eventually correct, its been booming since 2013.

    MTR:)
     
  6. ATANG

    ATANG Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    5th Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    615
    Location:
    SA
    If market starts to lose steam, new houses will be the first to get hit.
     
  7. andyboiii

    andyboiii Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    29th Nov, 2016
    Posts:
    438
    Location:
    Melbourne
    which is why I'm building a 5/3/3 at an excellent price point. Definitely not a cookie cutter house.
     
  8. arunricky

    arunricky Active Member

    Joined:
    17th Feb, 2017
    Posts:
    25
    Location:
    Sydney
    @MTR I will have to agree with you and @ATANG that it could relatively be a risky step because I am looking for L&H package maybe towards the peak of market as compare to few top guns who already have made good fortune by getting in early but it seems there are not many options other than holding on and waiting for next good setup.
     
    andyboiii likes this.
  9. ATANG

    ATANG Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    5th Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    615
    Location:
    SA
    There are still some stocks with higher land content in that price range in train lined suburbs like Weeribee, Sunbury, Doveton, etc. If the OTP has something over 500, 600sqm, then thats not bad, but a lot of them are less than 300sqm. It's the land value that pushes up prices.
     
    andyboiii likes this.
  10. Connor

    Connor Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    31st Aug, 2015
    Posts:
    437
    Location:
    Melbourne
    What some seem to be forgetting is that even with low end H&L, it's very possible in the current market to manufacture 40-50k equity into the deal....meaning, compared to the deal you put together, the existing equivalent products on offer are asking 40-50k more! And that's without taking into considerate any growth in values.
    Compare that to many other suburbs in Aus that investors are flocking to that take years to see that type of growth.

    Even in 2017, I put together a package in Jan that had approx 50k equity at the time... that's sitting at about 80k equity now with land growth.
    June a deal for my brother with approx 40-50k equity not counting any growth. July another deal with approx 150k equity...but that is a higher end product..

    I'm not saying you just go out to Henley or wherever and buy any old H&L... you got to do the work... and you have to make sure you'll have decent equity in the deal. Personally I'd never do a deal without an equity uplift from the very beginning.

    Markets can and do turn, and when they do, it affects entire regions. The majority of the H&L markets in Australia I would not touch. But when buying in certain existing suburbs, and at certain price points, it lessens your exposure in a downturn.

    Put it this way.. investor 'A' buys a property at the very peak of the market for 450k and its worth 450k. Investor 'B' at the same peak of the market puts together a H&L deal for 400k, but it's market value is 450k.
    Which investor now has negative equity and is most at risk?
     
    andyboiii likes this.
  11. arunricky

    arunricky Active Member

    Joined:
    17th Feb, 2017
    Posts:
    25
    Location:
    Sydney
    When you say that you put together a package which has 50K equity..do you actually generate equity in building? because the cost of land in a release would be same for all same size lots and generally the price range of all developers is same as well. You can make money by getting in early releases though because the value increases as the developer offers new releases at higher price.

    This is a new package so someone is giving away their profits whereas it is different scenario when you purchase existing already built properties.
     
    Last edited: 3rd Aug, 2017
  12. Connor

    Connor Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    31st Aug, 2015
    Posts:
    437
    Location:
    Melbourne
    Yes there's plenty of $$ you can gain in the building. Sourcing of land is an art form also. You can compare the different estates and land values until you know your prices. I've seen such huge fluctuations in prices between estates literally across the road from each other. You have to find these discrepancies and find out why. If it passes your DD then you can take advantage.

    You also need to persist with the developers and land sales agents. Often you can snap up previously held blocks for builders, or deals from previous stages that have fallen over for their original sale prices. There's always opportunity, but it wont just fall in your lap.
     
    andyboiii likes this.
  13. andyboiii

    andyboiii Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    29th Nov, 2016
    Posts:
    438
    Location:
    Melbourne
    Which is the main reason why I never built with a lot of builders (ie. Henley, Metricon, Simmonds, Carlisle, PD etc) because I get the same product for much cheaper.

    I made structural changes to the original floor plan which will provide a lot of equity in future. ie. raised ceilings, extra ensuite/WIR to a room, grand alfresco, 5th bedroom, extra 2 metres on the garage etc. Also ensured I got a really, really good deal. for $288k, can't go wrong.
     
    Jackysharma and Connor like this.
  14. datto

    datto Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    23rd Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    6,675
    Location:
    Mt Druuiitt

    You made some good savings. Good stuff.

    Now, I'd like to see you invest some of those savings on a selfie stick. I keep focusing on that phone in your hand and it's driving me nuts lol.
     
    andyboiii likes this.
  15. google boy

    google boy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    12th Apr, 2017
    Posts:
    99
    Location:
    melbourne
    guys , I have got question. can I buy land in new estate with 5% deposit ? releasing land and titled might take nearly 2 years. After two year, can I sell land to someone? I have already got 3 properties. They wont give me any loan as my income is not high.
     
  16. Westie

    Westie Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2017
    Posts:
    1,138
    Location:
    Melbourne
    You can't sell what's not yet yours. You can nominate someone though but these I can confirm developers are putting clauses in limiting this from happening.
     
  17. google boy

    google boy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    12th Apr, 2017
    Posts:
    99
    Location:
    melbourne
    when I buy land, I will try to put nomination clause. After two years, I will try to market within my community and ask them to transfer money in my account according to current market value with bit of discount and nominate them
     
  18. Westie

    Westie Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2017
    Posts:
    1,138
    Location:
    Melbourne
    Yeah that's what I said too. They are trying to stamp out this practice.
     
  19. vip_leo

    vip_leo Member

    Joined:
    14th Jul, 2016
    Posts:
    19
    Location:
    Melbourne
    sounds good.... thanks

    That's a good tip.... Thanks :)

    thanks for heads up!! will look into it.
     
    andyboiii likes this.
  20. Jackysharma

    Jackysharma New Member

    Joined:
    22nd Sep, 2018
    Posts:
    2
    Location:
    Melbourne
    Hello,

    Planing to buy a land in Merrifield Parkway just opposite to Future Sporting Reserve 448m for $370k
    Any suggestion please