VIC Melbourne price correction - post examples

Discussion in 'Property Analysis' started by mues, 10th Nov, 2018.

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  1. hieund85

    hieund85 Well-Known Member

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    My observation is that the sold price now is often around the minimum quoted price shown in SOI or sometimes slightly below.
     
  2. FXD

    FXD Well-Known Member

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    Yes, I think that's the case in general but there may still be some lags & diff between seller vs
    buyer expectation.

    By assumption, I err on the side thinking that most selling agents still follow their clients in
    ambition and optimistic vision reflected in the SOI, which when looked at by fence-sitter like
    myself, does not paint the reality of where the deal may most likely be struck. Many done deals
    have no prices disclosed and/or SOI pulled fairly quickly after sales.

    Cheers,
    FXD
     
  3. mehrar_84

    mehrar_84 Well-Known Member

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  4. fpap

    fpap Active Member

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    That's not a 'price correction', that's just someone that paid too much, cant get finance for a redevelopment and is forced to sell because they cant hold the property. I've seen this happen even when things were booming.

    Is the same Agent selling it?
     
  5. mehrar_84

    mehrar_84 Well-Known Member

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    No, different one
     
  6. fpap

    fpap Active Member

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    Missed opportunity by the Agent :)
     
  7. ashish1137

    ashish1137 Well-Known Member

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    I see a lot deals in western burbs.
    Mmmm mmmm.


    465k land and 22 sq build.
    540k price on build
    450 per week as potential rental.


    Mmmm mmmm


    Regards
     
  8. mehrar_84

    mehrar_84 Well-Known Member

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    upload_2019-5-17_9-15-6.png
    Asset confiscation/ Mortgagee in Possession sales without any interest rate hike
     
  9. TheSackedWiggle

    TheSackedWiggle Well-Known Member

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    @ashish1137
    540k is turnkey price of house built on land worth 465k?
     
  10. lynchy

    lynchy Well-Known Member

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    Sold at auction which means it was likely at or at least close to market price assuming the under bidder wasn't far off
     
  11. hieund85

    hieund85 Well-Known Member

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    I think he means $465k is the total cost of land and 22sq build. End product value is $540k. Estimated rental is $450.
     
    ashish1137 likes this.
  12. mehrar_84

    mehrar_84 Well-Known Member

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    400sq land is approx $300-$330k.
    Build a 22sq house is minimum $220k.
    total cost min $520k not $465k.
     
  13. hieund85

    hieund85 Well-Known Member

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    I am referring to the other guy's post (guessing what he means) not posting about a specific deal. And you do not need 400sq land to build 22sq home, smaller (and cheaper) land can do it too. And $300-330k for 400sq land in outer western suburbs of Melbourne is not a good deal to jump in. It is the peak level (or close to). I can find plenty of blocks of land way cheaper now if I want.
     
    ashish1137 likes this.
  14. FXD

    FXD Well-Known Member

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    13A Knutsford Street Balwyn sales history:
    - Sold $4,950,000 in Jan 2013 (13A Knutsford Street, Balwyn, vic - Property Sold Price)
    - Recently sold around mid five million mark

    No correction there and result confirms what few agents have been telling me, good burb, good
    block, great location, top quality build (architect, builder, landscape, etc) still fetch top dollars!

    How is it possible to break into these gems for long term growth without some help from
    PowerBall :)
     
    SLP07 likes this.
  15. TheSackedWiggle

    TheSackedWiggle Well-Known Member

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    thats a 0% return in 6 years
    Assuming it sold for 5.5mn and 10% is buying selling , holding costs.

    (Melbourne on an average returned close to 60% at its peak from start of 2013)
     
    Last edited: 20th May, 2019
  16. FXD

    FXD Well-Known Member

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    I thought market price in the context of this thread or in general (how we track price trend)
    only accounts for the actual contract price and not other considerations.

    However, I do agree with your comments when all those misc costs or TCO is concerned, there
    is 0% return if not worse.
     
  17. mues

    mues Well-Known Member

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    Places that cost more than 3 odd mill have no connection to the normal market
     
  18. ollidrac nosaj

    ollidrac nosaj Well-Known Member

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  19. Tony3008

    Tony3008 Well-Known Member

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    Same story here Desperate families are selling housing blocks on Gumtree in property market downturn | | Express Digest

    With this ludicrous comment:

    MAB Corp, which is developing Merrifield Estate, said discounted prices do not affect the value of land.

    ‘Purchasers have complained that blocks of land at Merrifield are now being sold at a lower price and this is affecting their valuations,’ MAB Corp chief operating officer David Hall told the AFR.

    ‘That this is not possible as valuations provided by their financiers’ valuers are determined by comparative sales in the catchment and that valuation practice is to exclude “off-the-plan” sales evidence.
     
  20. TMNT

    TMNT Well-Known Member

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    Dumbest comment of 2019,
    you couldnt even make it up
     
    marty998 likes this.

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