Melb Economy…. Predictions again

Discussion in 'Property Market Economics' started by MTR, 5th Oct, 2021.

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  1. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    What will happen to property market when they come out of lockdown…. If??

    With 50% on the dole…. How will a property boom be sustainable????

    Yet my gut tells me we will continue to see record prices??? In particular….East, inner city

    thoughts
     
  2. lil85

    lil85 Well-Known Member

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    I am observing Balwyn and Doncaster. I feel it was hotter prior to the new stamp duty regulation over $2mill were introduced. After that properties are sold but not at crazy prices.

    I reckon bayside, Mornington Peninsula and Geelong region would still be the best performer.
     
  3. Tyla

    Tyla Well-Known Member

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    I thought 50% increase in number of people receiving the dole.
     
    Last edited: 5th Oct, 2021
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  4. sash

    sash Well-Known Member

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    Melbourne will be ok.....though like Sydney a lot of smaller businesses will go under.

    In 2 years...all the people who went to Qld will realize that not enough jobs and Brissie /GC/SC are costly and move back. Happens every cycle....;)
     
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  5. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    No idea

    They killed lots of industries in Melb, wont be recovering over night.
     
  6. sash

    sash Well-Known Member

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    No different in Sydney town.....lots of for lease signs....

    I also think that....that it can't get any worse for Sydney and Melbourne as they bore the brunt of COVID.

    My fear is whether....Perth...Brisbane...Adelaide cope..if they have heaps of COVID patients...their Vax rates are not that great....either..seems like they have a lot of Tin Foil hats....I would have thought they would have hit over 75-80% for first vax..an vax....and maybe 58-60% for seconds..not there yet. It looks like they will open in Nov at the rate they are going...
     
  7. Tony3008

    Tony3008 Well-Known Member

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    If it comes to anything, us of course. Some stupid questioning from the usual suspects at a recent press conference, implying that (assuming they can be identified) the individual(s) responsible should be paying out of their own pocket(s). Question for the journos concerned: if you write something that is found to be libellous, who will be paying the damages: you or your employer?
     
  8. Piston_Broke

    Piston_Broke Well-Known Member

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    Or they will move OS where they can live for a lot less and have more freedoms and options.
    No other cycle has people locked in a 5km radius and not allowed out for more than an hour.
    Those working from home can work from anywhere and the digital nomad lifestyle is growing exponentially in popularity.
    My guess is as soon as the border opens there will likely be a mass exodus.
     
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  9. sash

    sash Well-Known Member

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    Yes particularly NSW and vic
     
  10. albanga

    albanga Well-Known Member

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    MELBOURNE property is like our Premier, Teflon.

    And that’s been my first post in 12 months...haha
     
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  11. OzziMelbourne

    OzziMelbourne Well-Known Member

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    Large vax rates might not be even required
     
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  12. sash

    sash Well-Known Member

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    Hmmm...... look at conspiracy theories much? :p:D
     
  13. OzziMelbourne

    OzziMelbourne Well-Known Member

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    Have you watched a video?
    It’s 2 hours
    Both are vax experts and one is mRNA technology inventor
     
  14. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    Welcome back
    What happened?? Needed a break
     
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  15. Bluechips

    Bluechips Well-Known Member

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    Yea, spot on. People don't realise this until they try to change jobs. Job market is not in the scale between Brisie and Syd/Mel. Have a quick search in Seek and LinkedIn you will know. Just use number of jobs for the same sort of work/population. I'm only meaning office jobs. Tradies and small businesses would be different. 40,000 net migrants inflow is nothing comparing to 3millions population gap. This don't just change in 10 years...
     
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  16. Closet

    Closet Well-Known Member

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    Yep anyone who is looking to buy in brisbane would want to get it done asap...there is going to be another big spike once the borders open on top of the current craziness!
     
  17. Piston_Broke

    Piston_Broke Well-Known Member

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    Why buy in Qld at all?
    There are many places much cheaper, same lifetsyle also with authoritarian governments that give people more freedoms.
    They may be better off in Vanuatu
     
    Last edited: 13th Oct, 2021
  18. Hari Yellina

    Hari Yellina Well-Known Member

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    When unemployment is at 5% how come 50% are on dole. (Zero has no value)

    If you are on Dole, you should be concentrating on getting a job first. not buying real estate in premium locations.

    Melbourne will do just fine. and this boom will continue for another 2 - 3 years.
     
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  19. Mulianto

    Mulianto ~~

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    Anti Chinese fatigue has set in… I think the Indians will come in their place when the migration flood gate is wide opened. Unlike the Chinese, most Indians are not well off, will most probably settle in North and West. And the successful ones will move East/Southeast in the future.
     
  20. apk

    apk Well-Known Member

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    Its more than 5% as per Alan Kohler