Market Check! Is where you live booming?

Discussion in 'Property Market Economics' started by Jess Peletier, 23rd Nov, 2020.

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Is your local area booming?

  1. Yes - going nuts

    93 vote(s)
    43.3%
  2. Yes - better than previously

    77 vote(s)
    35.8%
  3. About the Same

    28 vote(s)
    13.0%
  4. Nah, it's pretty flat.

    13 vote(s)
    6.0%
  5. Nah, it's falling

    4 vote(s)
    1.9%
  1. Westminster

    Westminster Tigress at Tiger Developments Business Member

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    3rd Jun, 2015
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    Location:
    Perth
    I doubt my area is ever going to boom as it's very much a lifestyle/rural area. BUT I do see it becoming more popular and over time won't be the "affordable" haven it was when we bought it. My suburb has a minimum lot size of 10 acres so affordable is definitely a relative term but considering it's 32km from the perth CBD - you can buy 10 acres with a dated house out here for $750-$1.2m
    For us it's the best of both worlds, we have peace and solitude but access to schooling/health/infrastructure within 20-30mins
    I just checked the number of listings and there is only 2 available in our suburb so supply is wayyy down.
     
    Sackie, icic and Perthguy like this.
  2. Jana

    Jana Well-Known Member

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    19th Apr, 2016
    Posts:
    458
    Location:
    Sydney
    Not too sure, I have few investment properties. Agents were hunting for properties last few months. The mkt seems very artificial due to lack of stocks. No one need to sell as banks gave holidays and government gave free money. The high unemployment rate and lack of foreign students can easily trigger more properties in the mkt that kill the momentum.

    See oil as exmaple, just 2% higher stock slashed the price by 40-50%. Just a sentiment. Now days investors are absent, mainly first home buyers. First home buyers generally have very limited deposit and income. Given their limited experience companies touch them first if redundancies happen. Inala and other region has higher portion of living on govt benefits, I don’t think they really bother about home ownership.

    The real challenge will be in post March.
     
    Last edited: 31st Dec, 2020
  3. DueDiligence

    DueDiligence Well-Known Member

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    Sydney, Australia

    I have no doubt the government can (and probably will) cook up another set of “unfortunate “ NYE COVID numbers and kick that can well past March. I won’t be surprised if 2021 is the year of the virus, again.

    The Spanish flu was a 3 year thing.I wouldn’t dare bet against this and another round of stimulus to make the last look like an entree.

    The only thing that has been consistent this year is that bad news on main street is good news on Wall Street, and right now, Wall Street includes property and any other hard asset.Look at the absurdity of the car market, who would’ve seen that coming.

    The practice of restricted stock and supply chain choking (engineered or not) has been the most influential factor in this entire experiment.At the risk of sounding tin foil hat, this absolute has become and will continue to be a great experiment.It’s possible as a result of this- seeing prices accelerate despite bad news- that hard assets literally only ever rise in nominal price.
     
    Last edited: 1st Jan, 2021
    John_BridgeToBricks likes this.
  4. Lacrim

    Lacrim Well-Known Member

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    25th Jul, 2015
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    Location:
    Australia
    The optimist in me suggests 2021 will be better than 2020.
     
  5. essendonfan

    essendonfan Well-Known Member

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    27th Mar, 2019
    Posts:
    137
    Location:
    Sydney
    I see this latest outbreak in Sydney as a massive opportunity, going to try and purchase a place in the first quarter of 2021.
     
  6. Jana

    Jana Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Apr, 2016
    Posts:
    458
    Location:
    Sydney
    Did this happen in Melbourne in the second round? If not, it wouldn’t happen in Sydney too. People now know mkt will be normal once COVID no reduces and they don’t need to sell. Bank gives holiday so nothing to worry..

    I would buy if opportunity comes, but chances are very slim. May be 1% less..
     
  7. inertia

    inertia Well-Known Member

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    19th Jun, 2015
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    1,617
    Location:
    Newcastle, NSW
    yeahhhhhh, but... It doesn't have to be a sense of entitlement. I think it is natural (for many) to want to continue living in the same community you grew up in. Does that happen any more? Are there generations of families, and extended families living in the same area? Up until a few (several?) decades ago, that was an entirely plausible concept.

    Cheers,
    Inertia.
     
  8. Codie

    Codie Well-Known Member

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    6th Mar, 2018
    Posts:
    1,623
    Location:
    Brisbane
    Its still entirely possible IMO

    Your just buying a 2/3 bed apartment instead of buying the 800sqm block with a house on it.

    But most don’t want to start within their means and build up, or simply don’t know how.
     
    Whiz, Brendon, inertia and 2 others like this.
  9. Trainee

    Trainee Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    24th May, 2017
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    10,323
    Location:
    Australia
    Would be interesting research to see if the generations living in the same place was also accompanied by little price growth and little social mobility.

    Ten pound poms weren't that long ago......
     
  10. mickyyyy

    mickyyyy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    26th Jan, 2016
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    Sydney
    I have not watched that idiot in ages for obvious reasons but now you got my interest. How far back should I go to see what you have noticed?
     
  11. DueDiligence

    DueDiligence Well-Known Member

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    Location:
    Sydney, Australia
    any of the ones with tarric brooker shows evidence of confusion and generally attempts to capitulate without capitulation.

    heres a good one



    Go to the bottom comment by Chris Mainwaring and review the Malarky.
     
    Gen-Y and Codie like this.
  12. adrian_christian

    adrian_christian Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    27th Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    188
    Location:
    Mauritius
    Blackburn, postcode 3130 here..middle ring eastern Melbourne for those playing outside Melbourne...

    everything is selling at the moment provided there’s nothing “odd” about the property or property shape.

    “forthcoming auction” stickers are being replaced with “under contract” before the auctions are even taking place.

    A valuation on our place 12 months apart:

    March 2019 - bought $1.255m
    December 2019 - bank val $1.35m
    December 2020 - bank val $1.45m
     
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  13. Simone

    Simone Member

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    24th Oct, 2016
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    Location:
    Australia
    Which suburb did you buy in @Omnidragon if you don't mind sharing?
     
  14. Gockie

    Gockie Life is good ☺️ Premium Member

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    Sydney
  15. mickyyyy

    mickyyyy Well-Known Member

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    Sydney
    That was great reading hahaha
     
  16. Gen-Y

    Gen-Y Well-Known Member

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    Location:
    Brisbane - Sydney
    A broken clock is right twice a day.
    Hmm - maybe just maybe Martin is onto something.
    What is the job of Central bank anyway and government if it wasn't to keep the economy as steady as she sail captain. I Captain!
     
  17. Frenchie

    Frenchie Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    12th Feb, 2020
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    324
    Location:
    Melbourne
    Definitely the norm in Europe and it will come here.

    I grew up in a rented 1 bedder 40sqm, and my parents managed to buy a 2 bedder when I was in my teens.
     
    Codie likes this.
  18. DueDiligence

    DueDiligence Well-Known Member

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    27th Jan, 2020
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    439
    Location:
    Sydney, Australia
    I’ve noticed what looks like Underquoting in my area (Southside Brisbane) . I’m not sure if it underquoting or price falls. Interestingly, the metrics like SQM are detecting falls as they’re tracking asking price.