ASX Shares Lynas (LYC) share a good buy?

Discussion in 'Shares & Funds' started by brian818, 10th Jun, 2019.

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  1. brian818

    brian818 Member

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    The only big provider of rare earth outside China
     
  2. wombat777

    wombat777 Well-Known Member

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    Consider looking at the companies close to entering or have just entered the ASX300. Then dive into their strategy for growth. Look at market supply/demand. Also check aspects like debt burden ( look at quarterlies ) and capital structure ( look at the Appendix 3B announcements ).

    Research reports help with understanding possibilities but read with skepticism.

    Be careful if you observe signs of excessive manipulation by bots (one sign is a very high proportion of trades under $250 but other patterns are used). Occurred recently with KDR.

    Also pay attention to substantial holder notices. Try to determine strategy of the holder. E.g. UBS very active in shorting Syrah Resources.

    You can sort the ASX300 by market cap here.

    S&P/ASX 300 - Share Prices & Charts
     
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  3. Shogun

    Shogun Well-Known Member

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    Interesting first post for a Property Forum.

    Lynas is a highly volatile share.
    They do business in Malaysia which causes a lot of issues. Recently the PM made a comment that they wanted Lynas. Lynas have asked down stream processors to set up in Malaysia. They won't because it is a difficult country to do business.
    Rare Earths are not rare. Mineable/treatable deposits are a bit harder to find.
    $2.77 today was $3.10 last week
     
  4. Jess Peletier

    Jess Peletier Mortgage Broker & Finance Strategy, Aus Wide! Business Member

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    That's looking pretty lovely from a technical perspective - I love a new high ;) This was the ideal buying opportunity back in May, but buying on a pull back could work.

    I've got no idea about volume etc but on price movement alone, I like it.
    upload_2019-6-10_8-51-29.png
     
  5. Shogun

    Shogun Well-Known Member

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    Some talk of Lynas building a plant in Texas.

    Other is Trumps trade/tariffs issues with China. China can just turn the light rare earth supply off to USA and everyone else.
    Years ago they were $25 ish since as low as 35c (from memory)
     
  6. bobbyj

    bobbyj Well-Known Member

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    If Wesfarmers thought it was a worthwhile investment, maybe?
    It’s still risk.
    Cyclical
    Sovereign risk
    Goes against value investing principles

    Pass.
     
  7. The Falcon

    The Falcon Well-Known Member

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    Cracking insight. Lynas on nobodies radar.
     
  8. Shogun

    Shogun Well-Known Member

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  9. Shogun

    Shogun Well-Known Member

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    Over $7 today
     
  10. Mark F

    Mark F Well-Known Member

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    Great company, brilliant management, I am now sitting on a 7 digit profit.
     
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  11. Redwing

    Redwing Well-Known Member

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  12. Redwing

    Redwing Well-Known Member

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    How it's gone since the first post in June 2019

    upload_2022-3-7_7-41-28.png
     
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  13. Shogun

    Shogun Well-Known Member

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    and now?
     
  14. Mark F

    Mark F Well-Known Member

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    Closed on 26 July @ $7.16 - now about $10.40. Have traded the last dip so up another $4-500k or so. :rolleyes:
     
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