Is this possible?

Discussion in 'Investment Strategy' started by Miro, 10th Sep, 2019.

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  1. Miro

    Miro Member

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    Hi All
    Just need to know if this is possible and a good option.
    My current position.

    Property 1 - Owner occupy
    Bank Value - 925k
    Loan - 500k
    Available equity 240k @ 80% LVR

    Property 2 - investment
    Bank Value - 800k
    Loan - 560k
    Available equity 80k @ 80% LVR

    Total 320k equity

    At 80% LVR 300K should allow me to borrow 1.5m

    Can I then take the 1.5 and purchase for example 3x 500k properties. ( obviously slightly less minus stamp duty etc)
    Or example 6 x 250k properties.

    Then rent everything out including current owner occupied.
    700pw
    800pw
    500pw
    500pw
    500pw
    =$13,000 rental income. Per month

    Existing loans $1,060.000 on intrest only 3.3% repayments $2915 per month
    New loan $1,500.000 on 3.3% IO $4125

    Total repayments $7040 Per month.

    Rental income $13,000 Per.month more or less.

    Have I calculated this correctly ?

    Then I can sit on these for x years until equity grows and do it again.

    And I can rent a nice property to live in for my family. With a home office that could help reduce tax.

    Does all this look right or have I miss calculated?
    Will the banks take into account rental income?
    And subject to our personal and company income.?

    Is this s option and if you were in this position is there anything better I can do?
     
  2. thatbum

    thatbum Well-Known Member

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    ...what about the other costs involved with owning an IP? Its not just loan repayments. You're much more likely to have a net loss than a net profit...
     
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  3. Jamesaurus

    Jamesaurus Well-Known Member

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    Serviceability?
     
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  4. Miro

    Miro Member

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    Yes I am aware that there are other cost involved. Thank you for your responce.
    My question however was are my calculations right so far?
     
  5. Miro

    Miro Member

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    Thank you
     
  6. Momoko

    Momoko Member

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    what about the period after IO?
     
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  7. Miro

    Miro Member

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    Yes I understand 100% that serviceability, credit history, credit score, market value, interest rates will all have there part in this working or not.
    I also understand there are other cost associated with the property which I must account for.
    Assuming all the above checks out. Is it a viable option ?
    Thank you
     
  8. Miro

    Miro Member

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    Yes taken into account thank you.
     
  9. thatbum

    thatbum Well-Known Member

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    I don't understand the point of these figures though if they aren't based on reality?

    Yes you can borrow X amount of money. Using that to purchase to more properties will get you Y amount of rental income and Z amount of additional expenses.

    How does that help you plan your strategy?
     
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  10. ORAC

    ORAC Well-Known Member

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    Theoretically, your high level, “back of a cigarette packet” calculation looks possible but probably not so realistic as follows:
    1. Allow about 5% for transaction costs, so on $1.5m, would need about $75k, so unless you got this money extra, this would come out of the available equity, and the balance of equity would be less, and thus the maximum amount to borrow with 20% deposit would be less.
    2. Have assumed gross rental yield of just over 5%, whilst not impossible, if in a major city is less likely.
    3. Need to factor in general rental expenses, 20% - 30% of gross rent.
    4. Assumed long term low interest rate for I/O would be available.
    5. However, the biggest killer is probably serviceability where the bank’s serviceability calculations assumes higher interest rates etc.

    So whilst looks like it might be possible, in reality not likely so. Maybe an extra property of a modest amount but not full on as you have calculated.
     
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  11. kierank

    kierank Well-Known Member

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    5% yield - where are you aiming to get that?

    What about vacancy periods?

    What about interest rate rises?

    I would suggest your focus on net rent, not gross rent. Budget on Operational expenses being between 30% and 40% of your gross rent. Then you have interest charges. Also calculate pre-tax and after-tax income.
     
  12. Miro

    Miro Member

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  13. Trainee

    Trainee Well-Known Member

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    Even if you could get the loans. At rock bottom rates. And could find that yield. (Very unlikely.)

    30% costs would bring your net to about 2k per month. Going back to pandi would eat all of that up.

    Unless you have significant cash savings somewhere else, repairs and vacancies would kill you.

    Sure the calc works but only if you assume nothing bad ever happens.
     
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  14. Miro

    Miro Member

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    Orac thank you for responce.
     
  15. God_of_money

    God_of_money Well-Known Member

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    3.3% I/O for IPs.. are u living under the rock?
     
  16. MWI

    MWI Well-Known Member

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    Other things to consider include:
    - What if loan valuations are lower when valued by the bank than you assume?
    - What if you have few vacancy weeks for each of the properties, or if rents decrease (so should calculate rental say on less than 52 weeks)? Plus banks do not add 100% of rental income but a smaller percentage.
    - What if you receive unexpected major expenses (e.g new roof, or retaining wall, appliances changes such as air conditioner, or dishwasher, etc...or something major)?
    - What % of expenses have you deducted to maintain each IP - not just interest (usually 1% of Purchase price or 20-30% as suggested, property manager, rates, insurances, smoke alarms, land tax, minor repairs)?
    - What if IO interest changes to P&I after 5 years?
    - What is your exit plan (many plan how to invest but not what they want at the end game and when that will be?)?
    - Can you add renovation to this mix to make it better to increase rent and or equity too?
    Basically do you have buffers in place for these extra cost being at 80% LVR?
    Yes, in theory the numbers are possible BUT you forgot to allocate the other numbers as I mentioned above?
    Also assuming banks will approve your serviceability too.
    Not to discourage you but you need buffers in place when circumstance change outside your control.
    Start with the next IP (one at a time - it is more about the asset base you accumulate rather than how many IPs you buy and hold) and so on and learn on each and then progress further, when your finances or time or equity permits!
     
  17. significance

    significance Well-Known Member

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    I know someone who tried this strategy before the GFC when banks would basically lend you whatever you asked for. It worked for 2 or 3 years before capital gains slowed and put the breaks on his equity growth, the banks wouldn’t let him roll over to a new interest only after his initial interest only period ran out, and he lost the lot. (I always thought he was bonkers, but it was interesting to watch it play out).
     
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  18. Morgs

    Morgs Well-Known Member Business Member

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    The theory is fine... but practical application is the challenge. For instance:
    • Lenders will shade rental income by 20%
    • IO loans will be assessed based on servicing P&I repayments over 25 years
    • IO INV rates will be higher
    • etc
     
  19. alicudi

    alicudi Well-Known Member

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    Yes Miro your mathematical calculations are correct, however use those calculations more of a scenario rather than as a real world example as the end result in the bank account will be very different. I say this as you have excluded many costs that have been mentioned by others in this thread and you are relying on financing costs remaining in your favour and haven't allowed for other risks that you will encounter with multiple properties under your belt.
     
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  20. Jess Peletier

    Jess Peletier Mortgage Broker & Finance Strategy, Aus Wide! Business Member

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    It will depend completely on your personal income as to whether you can actually borrow $1.5M...and also, IO rates will not be 3.3% for investment. So you'll need to adjust those figures.

    Strategy is important...what will you do once the IO finishes? You need to be sure you can still service the loans, and refinance them into a new term if necessary.

    It's not as simple as you've written unfortunately.
     
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