How many more years of pain for the Perth market?

Discussion in 'Property Market Economics' started by Citycat88, 12th Aug, 2016.

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How many more years of pain for the Perth market?

Poll closed 23rd Jan, 2020.
  1. 1 year

    45 vote(s)
    15.3%
  2. 2-3 years

    129 vote(s)
    43.9%
  3. 4-7 years

    60 vote(s)
    20.4%
  4. 8+ years - similar to the GFC in some other countries

    34 vote(s)
    11.6%
  5. Indefinite - a Japan style asset bubble collapse for decades to come

    26 vote(s)
    8.8%
  1. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    It will be hit and miss dependent on product and suburb
    Where you see oversupply there will be more risk of prices continuing to fall back further

    But in saying this Perth market is still price sensitive regardless
     
  2. icic

    icic Well-Known Member

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    Just finish the settlement finally, got someone to move in straight away... Its at Vic park close to the vibrant cafe strip and 5 kms from the city with regular bus service so I guess that makes a difference, maybe we were lucky too.
     
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  3. Perthguy

    Perthguy Well-Known Member

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    I don't think you were lucky. I think you picked the right area. It makes a difference.
     
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  4. Skinman

    Skinman Well-Known Member

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    Do you mind me asking what type of property did you go for? One of the villa’s or a house on its own green title?

    Thanks
     
  5. icic

    icic Well-Known Member

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    We went for a villa/townhouse style property with a decent land for a reasonable rental return. A free hold with a decent house in this area are very rare with lower % of return and are way out of our budget.
     
    Last edited: 10th Apr, 2018
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  6. thydzik

    thydzik Well-Known Member

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    couple of charts

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
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  7. Tman88

    Tman88 New Member

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    May I know where you got these charts ? is there a free website where i can get this information for particular suburb ?
     
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  8. thydzik

    thydzik Well-Known Member

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    Perth
    All Reiwa public data

    Median Rent, good to see no further decline for a while.
    [​IMG]
     
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  9. icic

    icic Well-Known Member

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    hey @thydzik thanks for nice graphs !
    I particularly like the vacancy graph. its a pretty impressive drop! And looks like to continue.
     
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  10. JL1

    JL1 Well-Known Member

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    The drop in available rentals is pretty much the largest in the country. Barely a clearer sign of returning strength to the market.

    There are a few areas i keep an eye on, one of them the R60 lots in Joondalup around the Currambine train station. A year ago (not even) there were multiple properties going in the 420-450 range. now there is nothing available, and the non-development houses in the area start at 450+. Can just about say they people who got in at 420k have seen 10% growth already.

    Likewise Scarborough townhouses at the same price point.. they were going for high 300's a year ago and barely any listed now, at a time when the market is meant to be most saturated.

    Will keep watching to see if i'm calling it too early..
     
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  11. icic

    icic Well-Known Member

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  12. icic

    icic Well-Known Member

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    btw @thydzik, I can't seem to locate either the graph or data. would you care to share or pm me the links ? Thanks
     
  13. thydzik

    thydzik Well-Known Member

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    Manually created from the Reiwa market snapshot data.
     
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  14. WesternRat

    WesternRat Active Member

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    Perth
    wow this graph is interesting
     
  15. thatbum

    thatbum Well-Known Member

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    Perth, WA
    While positive, last time it took a really long time before a rental squeeze and rent increases translated into actual price increases.

    I think it was like at least 12 months of a sub 2% vacancy rate...

    What are we at now - still 5% apparently?
     
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  16. Skinman

    Skinman Well-Known Member

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    Thanks we also purchased a villa in Carlisle recently for the same reason. However it appears there are still some freehold bargains to be had. Have a look at this recent sale.

    81 Archer Street, Carlisle, WA 6101 - Property Details
     
  17. Scott Townsend

    Scott Townsend Well-Known Member

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    Perth
    Good to see this. A property’s of mine in Heathridge just had a change in tenant. 12 months ago dropped it to $460pw but when I re listed it, due to hardly anything decent available in the area, put it back up to $500pw and had several enquirers to choose from. Vacant for 3 days.
     
  18. thydzik

    thydzik Well-Known Member

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    Perth
  19. icic

    icic Well-Known Member

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  20. icic

    icic Well-Known Member

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    As usual, herd mentality is at play in this poll. When things are bad, people tend to be overly pessimistic and when things are going good, the general population tend to be over optimistic. Their lost for believing the last three options.