Get ready...it will happen !!!

Discussion in 'Property Market Economics' started by Luca, 10th Apr, 2017.

Join Australia's most dynamic and respected property investment community
Tags:
  1. paulF

    paulF Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    28th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    2,109
    Location:
    Melbourne
    That 5K is after tax money too so if you average tax rate is 25% you'll need to earn 6250k to cover that 5K
     
    mikey7 likes this.
  2. Colin Rice

    Colin Rice Mortgage Broker Business Member

    Joined:
    9th Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    3,184
    Location:
    Perth
    Cause he ticked all the banks boxes or as Jess said under-declared expenses. It is only in recent times that we as brokers are required to collect evidence of existing debts and provide to the bank. Previously banks would rely on stated debts and expenses with no further evidence required.
     
  3. Joshwaaaa

    Joshwaaaa Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    22nd Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    470
    Location:
    Adelaide

    He clears about $1k a week. He bought his house for $30,000 in the early 80's, he now owes $250k against it (buy a new car every few years, then consolidate, over and over and over). He has moved out and bought another house with his new wife for about $350k, his daughter still lives in original house not paying anything towards it. He's $600k in bad debt at 60 years old, new wifes name would also be on the new house though.
     
    Agent30yrs. and Perthguy like this.
  4. hammer

    hammer Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    28th Aug, 2015
    Posts:
    2,861
    Location:
    Darwin
    Oh gawd....
     
    Stoffo likes this.
  5. Perthguy

    Perthguy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    22nd Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    11,767
    Location:
    Perth
    Where is the jaw drop emoticon? o_O
     
    Stoffo likes this.
  6. Stoffo

    Stoffo Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    14th Jul, 2016
    Posts:
    5,328
    Location:
    In the Tweed
    Should be a pooping emoticon :confused:
     
    Barny and Perthguy like this.
  7. dabbler

    dabbler Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    8,572
    Location:
    Sid en e - olympic city
    Well, there is people like that in Sydney as well.

    Don't forget, it has gone up more than .25 over last 1.5 years, if you have a greedy lender, you may have gone up quite a bit and not had cuts passed on or very low cut. May not be normal mortgage either.

    Couple that with not being able to afford original loan, then yes, better to sell off now, while you can get a good price.

    They may also have had a pay cut or an addition to the family or a large unexpected bill.

    May also be the drinks talking :)
     
  8. Sonamic

    Sonamic Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    1,340
    Location:
    Sunny QLD
    Just LOL
     
    Perthguy likes this.
  9. Cactus

    Cactus Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jan, 2016
    Posts:
    1,445
    Location:
    Melbourne
    If you can afford a $1M loan with a bank at 7% sensitised rate then you can afford a couple of percent rises. What is $5k. If this person rented they'd pay more by elevating there standards... Again another silly example, tell your brother to analyse where he/wife wastes money in their life. I'm sure they can cut back $150 a week. Do they lease cars? Do they eat out? Do they drink most nights? Do they smoke? Do they eat eye fillet/top cuts of meat? Do they have gym subscription? Could they shop their electricity/phone/insurance providers?

    People with $1M mortgages on PPOR typically have a lot of fat in their budgets. A lot of room to adjust. It's the people with $200k of mortgage debt, no other assets, low incomes, no insurances, a $1k ford laser and a modest food budget that struggle when rates go up.
     
  10. Mumbai

    Mumbai Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    1,215
    Location:
    Melbourne
  11. mikey7

    mikey7 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    30th Mar, 2016
    Posts:
    1,173
    Location:
    Sydney, Brisbane
    Perhaps reread my post :p
    My brother isn't one with any issues.. im saying SOME people could be crippled.
     
  12. Beano

    Beano Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    7th Apr, 2016
    Posts:
    3,356
    Location:
    Brisbane
    You have a safe portfolio to be able to take a 7pc to 8pc increase in interest
    11pc to 12pc interest rate (like in 1990) would cause grief to many people
     
  13. WattleIdo

    WattleIdo midas touch

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    3,429
    Location:
    Riverina NSW
    Good points. Amazing how those luxuries sneak in and take over the house. I'll be looking at this myself this week.

    Sure about that or is this guess-work?
    My guess is that these people are experts at sustainability.
     
  14. albanga

    albanga Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    2,701
    Location:
    Melbourne
    Whilst I understand the theory behind this unfortunately for people like this it is not the answer. If your hanging in their by 1 rate rise now, I bet even if rates dropped by 2 full bps, they would still be hanging in their by 1 rate rise.

    This is not a rate problem, it is a financial literacy problem. These types of people will never get ahead until they learn to control money.

    If they fix the rate then they are just 1 car problem from going under or 1 increased school fee. The cycle doesn't end.
     
    Jess Peletier and Cactus like this.
  15. PandS

    PandS Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    14th Feb, 2017
    Posts:
    1,165
    Location:
    NSW
    Nothing new, a lot of people buy based on the current historic low rate and can only afford so with this sort of rate.

    I know a few that will be hurt and forced to sell if the rate goes up 1%.

    Also at a BBQ early last year another couple was asking you sold your place yet?
    No, but I thought you said you going to sell, oh interest drop we don't need to sell now.

    Keep living the dream on cheap debt :)
     
  16. PandS

    PandS Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    14th Feb, 2017
    Posts:
    1,165
    Location:
    NSW
    don't need to I reckon a 2-3% rise will cause a lot of people a lot of problem because of the high level of debt.

    It is a common theme in boom and bust cycle, doesn't takes much for the highly leverage and gambler to get wipped out and the ripple effect starts.
     
  17. Cactus

    Cactus Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jan, 2016
    Posts:
    1,445
    Location:
    Melbourne

    Guess work... my point is, if your allready on the baked beans diet and rates go up real pain will be felt. If your on the caviar diet, then your just trading Krug and Lobster for bin 389 and eye fillet...
     
  18. Cactus

    Cactus Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jan, 2016
    Posts:
    1,445
    Location:
    Melbourne
    My point wasn't that your brother has issues (sorry if it read that way) my point was that we shouldn't be thinking about $5k on $1m, and whether that's pre tax post tax blah blah. It's not a concern and if it is, something can be cut from the budget to cover the cost. It's people with lower debt, that will likely struggle more in cases where it's a higher percentage of income.
     
  19. paulF

    paulF Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    28th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    2,109
    Location:
    Melbourne
    I think we will get to a point where banks stop and rethink that it would be better for them not to raise rates too much and take a shave of their profits (billion dollar profits btw) or risk a blowout in arrears where they will loose as much as the mortgagees. They are too invested in housing not to!
     
  20. Jess Peletier

    Jess Peletier Mortgage Broker & Finance Strategy, Aus Wide! Business Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    6,680
    Location:
    Perth WA + Buderim Qld
    So true! If it's not a rate rise it'll be something else. At least rates you can control to a degree.
     
    albanga likes this.