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Discussion in 'Where to Buy' started by Thorm, 3rd Feb, 2016.

  1. Thorm

    Thorm Well-Known Member

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    16th Sep, 2015
    Posts:
    46
    Location:
    Sydney
    Saw this over on ozbargin. Free CG report from hotspotting.com.au and thought some people here might appreciate something else to read.

    Can view the pdf directly from here.
     
    dstar and Mr Dabolina like this.
  2. Player

    Player Well-Known Member

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    18th Jun, 2015
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    Location:
    Paradiso

    You might want to read the Copyright statement at the bottom of page 3 before you distribute material online via a direct pdf. Sharing the link for people to subscribe to is different and the report contents might assist some people. I read it yesterday and certainly couldn't see $99 value there. Just as well that it's free
     
    Last edited: 3rd Feb, 2016
    Perthguy likes this.
  3. Mr Dabolina

    Mr Dabolina Well-Known Member

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    NSW
    I feel for the people who actually paid $99. I have never thought that HS views were of value...
     
  4. Benjy

    Benjy Active Member

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    6th Aug, 2015
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    Location:
    Brisbane
    Never read one before but yeah I have to agree, there's no insight here, it's just a compilation of historical stats.
     
  5. Bullion Baron

    Bullion Baron Well-Known Member

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    25th Jul, 2015
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    Location:
    Adelaide, Australia
    The report tries to suggest the 'Best locations for long-term growth' are those with the top growth rates over the last 10 years, but this fails to take into account that suburbs won't all have the same price growth cycle (from a timing perspective) i.e. those with the top growth rate over the last 10 years may have just boomed and those with the bottom may be about to follow. I'd prefer to take the contrarian perspective and look at the suburbs/cities with the worst performance of the last 10 years and speculate as to which are best positioned to 'catch-up' with the top performers.
     
    dstar, Perthguy, Mr Dabolina and 2 others like this.
  6. HUGH72

    HUGH72 Well-Known Member

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    FNQ
    Definitely, and worse than that the report offers no insight or predictions only data about what has happened in a particular window of time.
     
    Bozley likes this.
  7. Pins

    Pins Well-Known Member

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    19th Jun, 2015
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    Location:
    Melbourne
    Yes I wish I'd known this before 2011 when I made a stoopid buy which began with one of their reports...
     
  8. R377

    R377 Well-Known Member

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    19th Jun, 2015
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    310
    Location:
    Adelaide - Southern
    I wish Terry Ryder would just go away. Everyone knows how badly his predictions have been, I wish he would just stroll off into the sunset with his tail dangling between his legs, instead of still giving out poor advice with his dartboard of hot spot predictions
     
    Arashi87 likes this.
  9. Mick Butterfield

    Mick Butterfield Well-Known Member

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    15th Jan, 2016
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    408
    Location:
    Bermagui NSW
    I have purchased numerous reports from Hotspotting and have found them to be very beneficial. That said, I think this report is a waste of time. No where near the level of insight in this compared to the reports that you pay for.
     
  10. Perthguy

    Perthguy Well-Known Member

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    23rd Jun, 2015
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    Location:
    Perth
    This might explain why I can't find any deals that stack up in Perth. 4 of my target suburbs are in the Top 20 list and none are in the Bottom 20 list. Maybe I should start looking at the bottom 20 list :)
     
  11. petewargent

    petewargent Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    5th Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    62
    Location:
    Sydney/Brisbane
    Long run data 1987-2015:

    Sydney 7.6
    Brisbane 7.25
    Perth 7.2
    Melbourne 6.8
    Darwin 6.6
    Canberra 5
    Hobart 4.6
    Adelaide 4.5

    Attached long run data chart from 1987 suggests that Sydney can lead cycles => possibly good news for Brisbane/Adelaide.
     

    Attached Files:

    Bran likes this.
  12. petewargent

    petewargent Well-Known Member

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    Posts:
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    Location:
    Sydney/Brisbane
    Median suburb prices over specified time periods so often a waste time.

    e.g. Vaucluse one of the "worst performing suburbs" - nah, there's just been a change in the sales mix i.e. more high density sales.

    Look at some actual sales data & it tells you that house prices have been rising hard and fast, for a very long time. e.g.

    95 Hopetoun

    11/11/2002 - $2,950,000

    17/2/2015 - $5,888,000

    174 Hopetoun

    22/4/2001 – $3,350,000

    4/8/2014 - $5,635,000

    6 The Crescent

    26/3/1997 - $1,565,000

    19/2/2000 - $2,250,000

    29/11/2005 - $3,250,000

    8/5/2015 - $5,225,000

    104 Old South Head

    13/12/2004 – $1,150,000

    24/2/2015 - $2,560,000

    etc. etc.
     
    Pins likes this.