This will be held on July 4. I'm not game to call it - it will be close. Dr Kelly had a good personal following, which may have swung the result of the last election for the seat. Living in the electorate, I've already been polled, and I've been on an electronic town hall phone call with Scotty doing some marketing. It was obvious not far into the poll that it was by a group concerned with the environment - I had thought Greens, but I was wrong. Climate change critical issue in Eden-Monaro byelection as six in 10 voters say more action needed by government The electorate has been hard hit by the bushfires where the PM is weak, but not particularly so by the pandemic where he is much stronger. ALP are favourites on Sportsbet fwiw.