Don't Buy Property in 2019

Discussion in 'Property Market Economics' started by MTR, 23rd Dec, 2018.

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  1. muller23

    muller23 Well-Known Member

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    MUES is only house ,if buy for 1 mil {is only example } this house and a few years later is 300000
    you will be kicking yourself in the bum ,good luck with your decision
     
  2. Brady

    Brady Well-Known Member

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    Hope so - settlement 15/3/19 :D
     
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  3. mues

    mues Well-Known Member

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    melbs.
     
  4. berten

    berten Well-Known Member

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    I'm ready to buy a ppor, cash, in Melbs too. If the right place at the right price came up I'd snag it now. Gut says prices have a ways to fall though, so I will be picky as hell and hopefully not have to pull the trigger for 6-18 months.
     
  5. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    I will be looking at inner Melb suburbs but still waiting
     
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  6. mues

    mues Well-Known Member

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    The key in my opinion is - can you locate a high quality asset with a flaw that allows you to get a good price, but can be fixed long term.

    Example. Is it ugly but a cheap Reno would make it livable, but near trains shops and schools?
    This will get rid of the limited buyer pool and enable you to attack the vendor. It’s slightly easier for me being in Melbs when you are in Perth. But I am tracking some places on the maket months already that I think could be renovated from b grade to a grade due to their size, location on the block, suburb profile.

    Find one, and get it at a mean discount from a vendor who can’t move it, and upgrade over time. That’s my plan.

    As it stands there are places at 1.3 mil 12 months ago going for 1.2 now, but others you could get for 1.1 easily as they have a flaw that puts young families off.

    That’s my wheel house. I got my blue chip townhouse in Carlton area a decade back doing this after it had been passed in at auction and sat around for 4-5 months.
     
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  7. kierank

    kierank Well-Known Member

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    Can you share it on PC :D
     
  8. kierank

    kierank Well-Known Member

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    Not me as the end of the world is nigh!!!
     
  9. Sackie

    Sackie Well-Known Member

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    I'm preparing for the "per capita recession"

    Screenshot_20190307-080339.jpg
     
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  10. kierank

    kierank Well-Known Member

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    How did you get that photo of me in my underground pantry?
     
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  11. Sackie

    Sackie Well-Known Member

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    Vendor due diligence . :D
    Screenshot_20190307-083225.jpg
     
    Last edited: 7th Mar, 2019
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  12. mues

    mues Well-Known Member

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    If I buy a house for 1mil and in 2 years it’s 300k I think we will have bigger problems than my one house. Probably in the nature of 40% unemployment and a Great Depression.
     
  13. berten

    berten Well-Known Member

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    Pretty much. At that stage we are roaming the land in search of water, wearing spiked shoulder pads and eating babies.
     
    Last edited: 7th Mar, 2019
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  14. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    Adelaide again??
     
  15. Chicken or Beef?

    Chicken or Beef? Well-Known Member

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  16. Brady

    Brady Well-Known Member

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  17. Cate Bell

    Cate Bell Well-Known Member

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    Great time to buy in some markets in Brisbane/Moreton Bay/Redlands, just bought an IP in Thorneside, under land value, with an upside. Could also be a good time to upgrade. Wouldn't touch Sydney or Melbourne.
     
  18. Oliver Shane

    Oliver Shane Well-Known Member

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    Per capita recession is already here I’m afraid.
     
  19. Oliver Shane

    Oliver Shane Well-Known Member

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    Under land value is always good.. seeing more and more of those in Sydney...
    Why do you prefer Brisbane over Sydney?
     
  20. Cate Bell

    Cate Bell Well-Known Member

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    Also have properties in Sydney, I am originally from Sydney. I think Sydney has a little way to fall, looking at Sydney next year, but if you can buy under land value in Sydney- well that is a good buy. Sydney is just too expensive to get into for the strategy that I use, the returns for me just aren't there as I am semi-retired and am not using finance.