Covid 19 price correction: Place your bets!

Discussion in 'Property Market Economics' started by spludgey, 17th Mar, 2020.

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How much do you think the property market is going to drop?

Poll closed 31st Mar, 2020.
  1. Not at all, it will increase in value!

    8.7%
  2. 0-5%

    11.1%
  3. 5-10%

    13.1%
  4. 10-15%

    13.1%
  5. 15%-20%

    19.0%
  6. 20%-30%

    19.4%
  7. 30%-40%

    6.7%
  8. 40%-60%

    6.3%
  9. 60%-80%

    0.8%
  10. 80%-100%

    1.6%
  1. TangibleGoodwill

    TangibleGoodwill Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    7th May, 2016
    Posts:
    81
    Location:
    VIC
    I feel the same. There might be reasoning in waiting for covid19 to go away and then sell.
     
    Gabbaking likes this.
  2. tonyvooz

    tonyvooz Active Member

    Joined:
    20th Mar, 2017
    Posts:
    41
    Location:
    Victoria
    I have seen price dropped in Carnegie (VIC) this week. Properties that are set to auctioned this and next weekend have been sold over last couple of days for 5-10% less than what they could have fetched in a month ago. That could be partially panic selling because of stage 2 lockdown but no doubt price will drop further as unemployment increases
     
    OneTrader, pvfv and kingstreet75 like this.
  3. pvfv

    pvfv Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    14th Aug, 2018
    Posts:
    80
    Location:
    melbourne
    That resonates well with me as well. Been getting calls from agents about excellent offers due to vendor needed to sell. Some even go to say awesome price! Which is 15% below what they were advertising a month ago. Interesting times ahead. Hold on tight it’s gonna get very wet around here.
     
  4. Human

    Human Active Member

    Joined:
    4th Nov, 2017
    Posts:
    29
    Location:
    Sydney
    I was looking around outer west of Sydney in Dec-Jan 2020 before giving up. tbh most agents were knowingly ruthless in pricing, even for poor properties. Very few were decent who understand this extreme greed will kill future gens. Still properties being advertised at similar prices means no sign of value coming back soon unless recession is confirmed, at-least one major bank bust, multiple businesses bankruptcy, mass unemployment etc.
     
  5. FredBear

    FredBear Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    7th Aug, 2018
    Posts:
    468
    Location:
    Sydney & Abroad
    Sold at auction on 24th for $1.42M
     
  6. tonyvooz

    tonyvooz Active Member

    Joined:
    20th Mar, 2017
    Posts:
    41
    Location:
    Victoria
  7. Younginvestor2

    Younginvestor2 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    26th Dec, 2015
    Posts:
    100
    Location:
    Sydney
    this is a unit not a house. Not aware of any unit on 400m2 fetching 1.2m in Oakleigh.
    Not around bishop street anyway
     
  8. LibGS

    LibGS Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    1,027
    Location:
    Melbourne, Australia
    Are we talking about the same country and election? Maybe your understanding of the word vote is different to everyone else's? If the AEC website is accessible from your browser, you can look it up. 1st preference votes:

    LNP: 5,906,875
    Labor/Green: 6,235,083

    You are right. Tragic.
     
  9. HUGH72

    HUGH72 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    3,022
    Location:
    QLD
    So the ALP and Greens are a coalition?
     
  10. LibGS

    LibGS Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    1,027
    Location:
    Melbourne, Australia
    No, but the Geens would have passed most of Labor's policies. I'm just pointing out the major untruth of the post.
     
  11. HUGH72

    HUGH72 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    3,022
    Location:
    QLD
    Okay, understood.
     
  12. Omnidragon

    Omnidragon Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    17th Oct, 2015
    Posts:
    1,693
    Location:
    Victoria
    Prob vote Greens next time since no difference?

    I think resi and non prime commercial already down 20-25%
     
  13. frankjeager

    frankjeager Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    2nd May, 2019
    Posts:
    734
    Location:
    sydney
    what are your thoughts now on this prop selling for over $1.4 m ?
     
  14. spludgey

    spludgey Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    18th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    3,521
    Location:
    Sydney
    Wow, decent price.
    It's a nice street though (I should know, I used to live in it).
     
  15. Ummm

    Ummm Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    24th Feb, 2018
    Posts:
    107
    Location:
    United Kingdom (temp)- previously Brisbane QLD
    J
    Just proves Australian real estate is an unstoppable force that you can not lose money on, now is the time to buy before you miss out forever...every real estate agent in the country agrees, interest rates are so low it's basically free money, gear up, get onboard to secure your financial freedom, the government will bail out all holders of debt, they will print money... you have nothing to worry about, unlimited demand from China means Australia will be able to sell everything we have and PROFIT..think how rich we will all be, we can even maximize our returns with leverage, retire at 45 with a 6 figure income. Remember the government will save you from any stupid decisions you make.

    *** Note: this is not financial advice, you should seek independent advice tailored to your individual circumstances
     
  16. LibGS

    LibGS Well-Known Member

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    18th Jun, 2015
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    Location:
    Melbourne, Australia
    If we keep bailing out property investors, then nobody has any incentive NOT to invest in speculative property investments.
     
  17. Gabbaking

    Gabbaking Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    12th Apr, 2017
    Posts:
    55
    Location:
    Sydney
    Someone with deeper pockets can afford and I can't. What are you thoughts?
     
  18. Gabbaking

    Gabbaking Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    12th Apr, 2017
    Posts:
    55
    Location:
    Sydney
    You missed /s at your sentence
     
  19. Wattle

    Wattle Active Member

    Joined:
    23rd Feb, 2020
    Posts:
    31
    Location:
    Sydney
    Haha you have convinced me, seems like a great time! Record low interest rates, not much competition, government stimulus - get in now before the market booms again and you miss out ;)

     
  20. Ummm

    Ummm Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    24th Feb, 2018
    Posts:
    107
    Location:
    United Kingdom (temp)- previously Brisbane QLD
    And don't forget leverage. You must use leverage to maximize your returns, remember it's free money....
    **Note: this is also not financial advice. Seek you're own financial advice tailored to your individual circumstances