COVID-19 in other countries

Discussion in 'COVID-19' started by Lizzie, 28th Mar, 2020.

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  1. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    For a minute I thought i was going insane:rolleyes:
     
  2. turk

    turk Well-Known Member

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    It's blindingly obvious, you only have to picture the size of Aus. v's NZ on a map.

    NZ is around the size of Victoria.
     
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  3. Lizzie

    Lizzie Well-Known Member

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    Okay. So way less the density less Australia ... so the fact that we have similar infection rates per population blows MTRs argument that Australia has higher population density than NZ even further ity of the water

    Apologises I didn't look up with specific details ... my argument was that NZ has a higher density than Australia, so are doing way better per population
     
  4. geoffw

    geoffw Moderator Staff Member

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    The population density of Victoria is about 25 psk, so is probably comparable to new Zealand with 18psk, and is about 17% smaller in area.

    Victoria has 1265 cases, New Zealand 1330.

    So that's perhaps more of an apples vs apples comparison. Or oranges vs oranges, as apples are associated more with Tasmania.
     
  5. turk

    turk Well-Known Member

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    Comparing density and population size is not comparing oranges with oranges.

    According to Worldometers Australia's infection rate per million is 247, NZ is 12% higher at 276.

    Coronavirus Update (Live): 1,780,318 Cases and 108,828 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer

    I would suggest you read @MTR's post again, she is looking at numbers, not population density or land size, you raised the comparison of this mythical land size not @MTR.

     
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  6. Fargo

    Fargo Well-Known Member

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    Averages dont make facts they distort them. 7million sq kilometres have less than 1person per sq klm. Australian population is very concentrated, more concentrated than NZ whose largest city is only about 1 million.
     
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  7. geoffw

    geoffw Moderator Staff Member

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    The differences between coronavirus in Australia and New Zealand pale I to insignificance when compared with many other countries - where on many measures, the pandemic is a lot worse - in absolute cases and deaths, and in cases and deaths per million population. New Zealand started slightly earlier with the isolation, and I think went in a little stronger - but both countries reacted well. Testing rates have also been high.

    Australia was about #20 on the list for the number of cases not many days ago, it's now about #30 as the infection rates in a number of other countries continue to rise rapidly.

    I thought that New Zealand had a body to oversee the administration of the Coronavirus funds. If so, it's a very good idea which should be replicated elsewhere.
     
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  8. Lizzie

    Lizzie Well-Known Member

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    If you mean this comment - then by comparing the two countries on an orange to orange basis - the infection rate per population is clinically similar (as pointed out by GeoffW). NZ has a much higher population density than Australia, yet that somehow hasn't translated into a higher infection rate. NZ also has a much lower death rate per population than Australia.

    Death rates per million:
    Australia - 59/25,000,000 = 1/423,729
    New Zealand - 2/4,900,000 = 1/2,450,000

    Which all equates to NZ doing something right - and, asides from a severe lockdown, which their economy seems to be managing because "everything" got locked down - basically like a pause on the entire economy (rent, mortgages, rates, utilities etc) - then the difference in the "death rate" per infected population may, perhaps, might mean another advantageous factor such as the high TB vaccine rates

    Which is what this discussion was about - before it got deflected by some - the fact that NZ had, historically, mass TB vaccination, with TB vaccination now potentially showing to have a effect on the severity of the disease

    p.s. be interesting to see how the NZ economy comes out of this situation - they basically put their whole economy on pause, rather than the partial shutdowns that Australia did, resulting in Australian businesses and investors still having to somehow find money to pay underlying expenses despite no income

    Screenshot (263).png
     
    Last edited: 12th Apr, 2020
  9. HUGH72

    HUGH72 Well-Known Member

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    It is probably more important who is infected as opposed to how many. An outbreak on a cruise ship loaded with 70 year old plus retirees or in a Tasmanian or Sydney nursing home really isn’t comparable to an outbreak within the 20 something back packer demographic.
     
  10. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    Italy has spiked
    Easter may not work out too well
     
  11. turk

    turk Well-Known Member

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    Yes averages can distort facts, and density was a red herring introduced into the discussion, which was about comparing infection rates between Australia and NZ.

    NZ's largest city has a population of approx 1.5 Million with a urban population density of 1,210 people per square kilometre.
    https://worldpopulationreview.com/world-cities/auckland-population/

    Sydney has a population of approx.5.3 million with a urban area is estimated at 4,196sq km which translates to a density of 1,171 persons per square kilometre.
    Greater Sydney - City of Sydney.

    Not all that different but irrelevant to the discussion.
     
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  12. geoffw

    geoffw Moderator Staff Member

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    The number of new cases in Italy, and the number of new deaths, has been declining in the last few weeks, which is encouraging - the isolation measures may be working.

    You posted an article a while back about the most important number which is the ratio of new cases for one day vs the previous day - I think the number for Italy would be below 1.0, which is a good thing.

    There is a very small spike for the last few days, but the trend is very positive.

    Italy Coronavirus: 152,271 Cases and 19,468 Deaths - Worldometer
     
    Last edited: 12th Apr, 2020
  13. turk

    turk Well-Known Member

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    There has been a number of topics discussed in this thread, an important one being 'growth factor' which shows where the numbers are heading. Both Australia(.82) and NZ(.85) not far behind are doing well.

    Your Death rates are incorrect, they are also a lagging factor and as @HUGH72 and @geoffw with his mention of the cruise liner pointed out these rates are very dependent on demographics.

    Australia also had mass inoculations as pointed out to you in another thread.

     
  14. Beano

    Beano Well-Known Member

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    How do they decide ?
    First in first serve ?
    "Eeny, meeny, miny, moe"
     
  15. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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  16. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    US admin been saying US will have worst 2 weeks, but it is improving in measures you wont see on charts yet. Deaths are terrible, but Understand population matters
     
  17. kierank

    kierank Well-Known Member

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    It is out of our control but not out of our influence.

    Another one of my guiding principles:- we always have the ability to influence.

    But not everyone realises this to be so.
     
  18. kierank

    kierank Well-Known Member

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    Nope
     
  19. Casteller

    Casteller Well-Known Member

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    They make decisions based on the survivability of patients, same as in many countries at the moment.
    But less need for that now, Spain has built huge temporary hospitals in convention centres, etc., and sourced a lot more medical supplies direct from China using military planes. Some European countries had problems with medical equipment being intercepted en-route by the USA so better to use direct military transport to avoid US pirates.
     
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  20. kierank

    kierank Well-Known Member

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    When I was in business, I had many guiding principles. Two major ones were:
    1. If you (the business owner) believe you are the smartest person on your team, your team in in trouble.
    2. If you are the only person on your team, you are in deep poo-poo.
    We all know the president thinks he is a great business person and a great leader, this article (warning:- a long one) shows he severely breached the two principles detailed above:

    Read in The New York Times: He was warned early and often: Behind Trump’s halting response to the coronavirus — The New York Times
     
    Last edited by a moderator: 14th Apr, 2020
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