VIC Corio development site?

Discussion in 'Property Analysis' started by Butterfly88, 4th Nov, 2017.

Join Australia's most dynamic and respected property investment community
  1. Butterfly88

    Butterfly88 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    11th Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    156
    Location:
    Sydney
    Hi all

    Been lurking around the Geelong area (still waiting for new finance) and have been looking for something to develop and saw this Lot 2 - 3 - 4 / 172 Matthews Road Corio Vic 3214 - Residential Land for Sale #201942346 - realestate.com.au

    Any thoughts on if this would be a good deal or not to cut my teeth on? New units sell high 200's in this area. Like this one: 105 Goldsworthy Road Corio Vic 3214 - Unit for Sale #126747110 - realestate.com.au

    Here is my quick and dirty analysis. Please pick it to pieces!

    Purchase $450 000
    Purchase cost $ 25 000
    Build @ $170 000 each = $510 000
    Hold cost $10 000

    $995 000

    Sell each unit for $300 000

    You lose $95 000 not including agents fees and professional counselling
     
  2. Butterfly88

    Butterfly88 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    11th Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    156
    Location:
    Sydney
  3. LifesGood

    LifesGood Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    26th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    911
    Location:
    Perth WA
    I reckon your feaso might be pretty spot on! Hahah.

    Why not try a retain and build for your first? Do a minor renovation on the front and build a new one out back.
     
  4. Butterfly88

    Butterfly88 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    11th Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    156
    Location:
    Sydney
    Yeah. I think that's probs a better alternative...
     
  5. Westminster

    Westminster Tigress at Tiger Developments Business Member

    Joined:
    3rd Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    11,356
    Location:
    Perth
    I suspect beyond losing your money, your existing house and sanity that your sums are pretty accurate.
    I'm not definite on the construction costs as I don't build in Vic but that seems reasonable.
     
    Butterfly88 likes this.
  6. Butterfly88

    Butterfly88 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    11th Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    156
    Location:
    Sydney
    Thanks for that @Westminster @LifesGood I can't understand how they hope to sell at that price...They really can't expect to get more than $300 000 surely?
     
  7. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    27,859
    Location:
    My World
    GST?
    Infrastructure costs
    Perhaps $1200-1500 per sq to build, dependent on spec this is Melb? not sure whether it is more for Geelong, regional centre??. Is the case in Perth regional builds pay more

    Some people buy to land bank, some are inexperienced and think the end values will continue to rise and therefore they add a premium to end values, which is how developers lose their shirt.
     
    Butterfly88 likes this.
  8. Butterfly88

    Butterfly88 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    11th Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    156
    Location:
    Sydney
    Hi @MTR . I believe builds in Geelong area are comparable to Melbourne price wise. Apparently all the infrastructure is in place and paid for - even the driveways.

    What do you pay GST on? Excuse my ignorance.
     
  9. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    19th Jun, 2015
    Posts:
    27,859
    Location:
    My World
    Right.
    I leave this with my accountant, margin scheme gst

    GST and the margin scheme

    If its your first development you may want to buy in your own name??? perhaps no GST? Don't know???that's something you will need to discuss with your accountant.

    I buy development sites in a Trust, structure is important to help with tax etc.
    This is something you don't want to ignore if you are going to pursue this strategy.
     
    Butterfly88 likes this.
  10. Butterfly88

    Butterfly88 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    11th Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    156
    Location:
    Sydney
    Thanks for the heads up I think I will keep my first in my own name as I have no other job at present. However I will look at other structures if this gets to be a "thing". We used to have a trust but never used it. I will definitely ask the accountant if I decide I am a business.
     
    MTR likes this.
  11. Connor

    Connor Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    31st Aug, 2015
    Posts:
    437
    Location:
    Melbourne
    I think you analysis is pretty accurate, except maybe abit light on the build costs.

    Here's another way to look at it. I like breaking costs down to a per lot basis.
    Lets say you got a deal at 475k including costs. It works out to just under 160k per lot. Even IF you could get them built at 170k each (I think 190k is more likely), each unit will owe you 330k. That's before we add any holding or finishing costs.
    A 300k sale price, leaves you at a 90k loss without including holding costs, legals, agents etc.

    There's nothing in this deal... A 1m development that will cost you about 15%...

    Unfortunately, a newbie who wants to develop for the sake of developing will end up buying this. And learn a costly lesson.

    The problem with developing in areas like Corio is simple. End values are not high enough! And even more so now after the recent increase in prices of the area, you just cant buy land cheap enough to make a development profit.
     
    Skilled_Migrant likes this.
  12. Butterfly88

    Butterfly88 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    11th Jul, 2015
    Posts:
    156
    Location:
    Sydney
    Hi Connor. Thanks for affirming what I had thought. Back to the drawing board. Just want to do one simple subdivision to both learn and profit from.
     
    Reddy and Connor like this.