By when Australia will be able to vaccinate 80% population

Discussion in 'COVID-19' started by standtall, 29th Jun, 2021.

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By when Australia will be able to vaccine 80% population?

Poll closed 9th Aug, 2021.
  1. End 2021

    4 vote(s)
    8.9%
  2. Mid 2022

    18 vote(s)
    40.0%
  3. End 2022

    11 vote(s)
    24.4%
  4. End 2023

    3 vote(s)
    6.7%
  5. 2024 and beyond

    9 vote(s)
    20.0%
  1. Whitecat

    Whitecat Well-Known Member

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    Bring on the vaccine passport.
     
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  2. spludgey

    spludgey Well-Known Member

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    My family-in-law doesn't want to get the vaccination.
    Infuriating!
    My wife is the only one that would, but she's currently pregnant.
     
  3. wylie

    wylie Moderator Staff Member

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    I heard on ABC radio 15 minutes ago (Janette Young I think?) saying they had asked (who?) for more Pfizer and have been refused. Which means the supply runs out in July.

    Some mention of questioning if the government is pushing AZ because of this hold up in supply of extra Pfizer doses. I've done a quick google, but can't see anything.

    I still wonder why people don't seem to care about blood clot risk from Pfizer being almost the same as from AZ.
     
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  4. spludgey

    spludgey Well-Known Member

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    Didn't Scomo turn away millions of Pfizer doses?
     
  5. Peter_Tersteeg

    Peter_Tersteeg Mortgage Broker Business Member

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    Not an entirely fair critisism. At the time there wasn't any reliable data on either vaccine, or the side effects. What was known was that Australia could manufacture Astrazenica locally but not Pfizer. AZ is also significnatly easier to store and distribute. This ensures reliability of supply in the long term, making Astrazaenica the logical choice based on the information avaialble at the time of that decision.

    The side effects of AZ are well within acceptable limits. Everyone wants Pfizer because it has fewer side effects and a higher efficacy rate, that's certainly reasonable. However if the Pfizer vax didn't work, we'd all be happily lining up for AZ and most of the Asia Pacific region would be knocking on our door asking for some as well.

    Overall there's been plenty of mistakes made by Australias leadership at all levels, right across the country. Keep in mind they didn't really have a proven playbook on how to deal with this. What we can be greatful for is that our leadership has demonstrated an ability to recognise errors and change their approach. This is more than can be said for may other world leaders.
     
    Last edited: 30th Jun, 2021
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  6. spludgey

    spludgey Well-Known Member

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    You're probably right. While I don't support how Scomo and Berejiklian have handled the situation, it hasn't been a complete cockup like with Bolsonaro or Trump either. Though I do feel that Barnaby might come close to their level, if he got the chance.
     
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  7. Firefly99

    Firefly99 Well-Known Member

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    The Sunshine Coast is apparently going to run out on Monday… :( not sure if this means my Wednesday appointment (for the 2nd shot) will be cancelled.
     
  8. Firefly99

    Firefly99 Well-Known Member

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    I agree. This response ‘in general’ has been fairly good. The exception is the lack of proper quarantine facilities. I don’t understand why the feds were pushing back on this. Perhaps they did at the start and didn’t want to admit they made a bad call so kept pushing back.
     
  9. Peter_Tersteeg

    Peter_Tersteeg Mortgage Broker Business Member

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    I'm speculating, but setting up quarantine facilities is difficult and expensive. Say it takes 6 months to build them and the vaccine rollout had gone to plan. You'd have a bunch of building sitting around, falling to pieces.

    Does anyone know if Victoria's desalinisation plant is actually generating water today?
     
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  10. standtall

    standtall Well-Known Member

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    Not sure about the Pfizer clotting risk. Here is the documented risk from AZ for various age groups.

    Age Estimated risk of TTS per 100,000
    AstraZeneca vaccine doses (first dose)
    • <50 years 3.1
    • 50-59 years 2.7
    • 60-69 years 1.4
    • 70-79 years 1.8
    • 80+ years 1.9
    There have been around 60 cases in Australia so far. There is only one case of TTS in under 40 from AZ mainly because not many under 40 have received AZ.

    COVID-19 vaccine weekly safety report - 17-06-2021

    Draw your own conclusions as our states and feds are currently interpreting ATAGI review very differently.
     
  11. Lizzie

    Lizzie Well-Known Member

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    Not entirely true - it's simply that the Pfizer side effects haven't been fully publicized in the media (which does make one wonder why). Both vaccines have a similar rate of risk - the AZ of blood clots - the Pfizer of heart inflammation.

    Efficacy of both is pretty darn close to not really be a factor (and most people wouldn't know anyhow).

    The cynic in me does wonder if there was dark money behind the anti-AZ social media campaign, as it is cheap and easily replicated, whereas the Pfizer is owned by a powerful and cashed up pharmaceutical company
     
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  12. standtall

    standtall Well-Known Member

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    That's not true. Pfizer heart inflammation rate is 1.2 per 100,000 people which is much lower than AZ blood clotting risk even for over 60s. Pfizer heart inflammation risk is also more prevalent among under 30s, posing very little risk to over 30s.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/26/fda...-inflammation-to-pfizer-moderna-vaccines.html

    If you are selfish about your own safety at any age and have a choice of vaccine, you are better off making the same choice Scomo made for himself - Pfizer.
     
    Last edited: 30th Jun, 2021
  13. Peter_Tersteeg

    Peter_Tersteeg Mortgage Broker Business Member

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    Perhaps Pfizer has more favour in some parts of the community because they created Viagra. ;)
     
  14. spludgey

    spludgey Well-Known Member

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    It's very much in the same order of magnitude though and I think the AZ concerns would be the same they are now, if their rate averaged out at 1.2 per 100,000.
     
  15. standtall

    standtall Well-Known Member

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    AstraZeneca is also a very powerful and cashed up pharma giant with $25b in revenue compared to Pfizer at $41b.

    AZ is easier to transport and administer hence possible to distribute via GP channels. Pfizer is a logistic nightmare and also remains short in supply due to more demand worldwide hence governments are (rightfully) trying to push AZ in cases where risk isn't too great.

    In the end, getting vaccinated with either of the two is much much safer than staying unvaccinated. If you are offered a choice, take Pfizer else get whichever gets offered to you first and get it fast!
     
    Last edited: 30th Jun, 2021
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  16. wylie

    wylie Moderator Staff Member

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    I'd give them a call. My understanding is that the second doses are tucked away safely, to ensure everyone can get the second dose as planned.
     
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  17. Stoffo

    Stoffo Well-Known Member

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    Everyone forgets that we weren't first in line when a vaccine became available.

    Maybe govco should seasonally adjust their figures, pro rata a 6 month late start and only report on adult population (we're actually doing a good job with 35% now:D)
     
  18. Casteller

    Casteller Well-Known Member

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    Australia started exactly 2 months after Europe (start of Jan vs start of March).

    Yes I think some places report adults vaxed to make themselves look better.
    If assume 23% of a western population is under 18, then
    %Adults vaxed = 1.3 * %Total vaxed.
    %Total vaxed = 0.77 * %Adults vaxed.
     
  19. Lizzie

    Lizzie Well-Known Member

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    US and UK started back in December 2020
     
  20. geoffw

    geoffw Moderator Staff Member

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    Reporting bodies such as Johns Hopkins University and Our World in Data standardise data to vaccinations performed per head of population (not just adults) to ensure proper comparison of data.
     
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