Australia headed for super surplus

Discussion in 'Property Market Economics' started by paulF, 18th Jul, 2019.

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  1. paulF

    paulF Well-Known Member

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  2. Kangabanga

    Kangabanga Well-Known Member

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    Pretty stupid article hyping the coming surplus we are gonna get from sky-high iron ore prices. Any surplus will only be temporary and as volatile as prices of commodities are.

    Once Brazil vale mines resume production of iron ore, prices will race back to the bottom and we will have an even bigger deficits then. Lng demand is going to fall too as Japan is turning it's nuclear plants back on.

    Coal is another commodity prone to volatile prices.

    How can aud ever have reserve currency like qualities if our economy and any surplus is predicated on commodity prices?
     
  3. paulF

    paulF Well-Known Member

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    @Kangabanga , reread the article. His main point is about super funds accumulating overseas assets...
     
  4. Angel

    Angel Well-Known Member

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    We cant read it if we aren't subscribers.

    If something is about Superannuation, we write Super with a capital. Otherwise your heading reads as though you are writing about the Surplus.
     
    Last edited: 20th Jul, 2019
  5. paulF

    paulF Well-Known Member

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    Go to google and search for 'Australia headed for super surplus: Exante' , click on the link and you should be able to read it ...
     
  6. Angel

    Angel Well-Known Member

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    Still no. Dont you think we have already tried that?
    Why would the media companies have subscriptions if the Average Jo can circumvent it.
     
  7. paulF

    paulF Well-Known Member

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    Your ignorance is not my problem.
    Nevertheless, disable Javascript on your browser and the link will work
     
  8. Waterboy

    Waterboy Well-Known Member

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    This article is about Current Account Surplus and Trade Surplus
    which is NOT the same as a Government Budget Surplus.

    Some silly AFR editor wrote click-bait headline title it seems.
     
  9. Gockie

    Gockie Life is good ☺️ Premium Member

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    Worked for me on the iPad.
    Anyway, interesting.

    “There are a lot of moving parts. But since Super was formalised in 1992, gross foreign assets are compounding around six per cent a year versus gross foreign liabilities at around three and a half per cent. So it’s certainly plausible. Simple compounding sees Australia as a net creditor in the next 10 to 15 years."

    If that were to occur it would mark an end in the longstanding view that Australia was a capital dependent debtor nation vulnerable to the whims of foreign financiers.

    And it would negate one of the structural concerns of credit rating agencies when analysing Australia.
     
  10. Angel

    Angel Well-Known Member

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    Thanks Paul, I have written your advice on a sticky note for next time.
     
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  11. datto

    datto Well-Known Member

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    Can't wait till iron ore hits $200/tonne!

    This country will be rolling in cash. If a generous Labor govt gets control of it, we will truly be the lucky country.

    There will be free everything.......uni's, health, roads, pink batts etc
     
    Last edited: 20th Jul, 2019
  12. Scott No Mates

    Scott No Mates Well-Known Member

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    Doesn't everyone have a subscription? :confused: #FWP

    Free beer?
     
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  13. datto

    datto Well-Known Member

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    Only Tooheys.
     
  14. Scott No Mates

    Scott No Mates Well-Known Member

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    Old, of course.
     
  15. datto

    datto Well-Known Member

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    And TED.
     
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  16. Waterboy

    Waterboy Well-Known Member

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    I don't have a subscription, but I was able to read the article in full.
    It's called creative discovering. ;)
     
  17. Scott No Mates

    Scott No Mates Well-Known Member

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    That works a treat (as my login didn't work).
     
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  18. Fargo

    Fargo Well-Known Member

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    I gues
    No need to shoot the messenger. Some people just see what they want to see. It didn't say that. It said the first surplus may have been driven by a surge in commodity prices It then goes on to report that analysis suggest the surplus may be maintained by a structural trend and global inflows.
     
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