A snap shot of what is happening on the ground in Melbourne

Discussion in 'Property Market Economics' started by Lisa Parker, 31st Jul, 2018.

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  1. The Y-man

    The Y-man Moderator Staff Member

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    Classic example of how different "street level" data can be totally different from suburb data. I tend work off street level data - suburbs/neighbourhoods can vary tremendously block to block, and suburb level data does not capture this.

    The Y-man
     
  2. TheSackedWiggle

    TheSackedWiggle Well-Known Member

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    Yoy listing increase by 42% in melbourne doesn't bode well for the prices in coming months,

    Is FONGO kicking in?
     
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  3. TMNT

    TMNT Well-Known Member

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    Exactlt, medians, suburb medians, desktop vals, valuation software all mean squat

    The best is heaps of comparable sales
     
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  4. JamesP

    JamesP Well-Known Member

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    Also this particular suburb is 99% H & L. A tremendous amount of estates were built over the last couple years. All 400-600k homes selling in quantity 17/18 and skewing the median of the established estates. Hard to know what each area is actually worth. But I've been watching the established areas and strangely they've been stagnant until the last 6-12 months. Not much action at all until now, homeowners are probably moving into the market while investors pull out. Almost like a calm before the storm type scenario
     
  5. Ghoti

    Ghoti Well-Known Member

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    Possibly already mentioned, but in these times of tougher access to credit I wonder how many of these are under contract on Monday subject to finance.

    While I bought my PPoR at auction on the back of a pre-approval letter a couple of years ago, I doubt I'd be so bold under current conditions.
     
  6. Ronald86

    Ronald86 Well-Known Member

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    And do you obtain these manually by looking at re.com.au map sales? Or is there an easier way?
     
  7. The Y-man

    The Y-man Moderator Staff Member

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    I actually save every house I inspect on my RE com "saved properties" (I think they call them different now on the mobile version) with notes. That way when they are sold, I see the results.

    The Y-man
     
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  8. johnmteliza

    johnmteliza Well-Known Member

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  9. WattleIdo

    WattleIdo midas touch

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    @highlighter

    told you so :)
     
  10. TheSackedWiggle

    TheSackedWiggle Well-Known Member

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    When falls are top down (as it is due to credit tightening rather then IR hikes),
    top end got effected first and most and price falls will trickle down to lower end soon if not already.
    He was saying the same thing about Sydney few months ago, now look at Sydney even the the lower end has started feeling the pinch.
    It's a top down fall, will soon trickle down to lower end if not already.
    Melbourne's rate of fall is increasing in Jan 19 it has surpassed even Sydney's momentum for first time.
     
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  11. TMNT

    TMNT Well-Known Member

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    I have yet to see a declining property market where the top end is not affected first regardless of ir or credir tightening
     
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  12. Sackie

    Sackie Well-Known Member

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    Stop it. You're making too much sense.
     
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  13. WattleIdo

    WattleIdo midas touch

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    yeah yeah It always is and plenty of 'gurus' learn it the hard way.
    You never answered my question: where are your properties? And another one: Did you buy them (if you did) with money you worked for yourself? If not, no need to reply but then don't expect to be taken seriously with your half baked waffle.
     
    Last edited: 10th Feb, 2019
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  14. berten

    berten Well-Known Member

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    "Prices won't fall in Sydney mate, harbor, migration -- Oh okay but just a little bit. Hmmm, yeah but markets within-- oh all markets... umm well data doesn't matter, fake facts,I go by my gut! How many properties do you own! "
     
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  15. MTR

    MTR Well-Known Member

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    Camberwell Melb, representing good value atm
     
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  16. dave80

    dave80 Well-Known Member

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    camberwell is such a large suburb though, with various schools - depending where you are will vastly affect value. for example if youre burwood side, it's cheap as chips as youre wattle park school zone.. if youre middle camberwell around wattle tree rd, you'll qualify at canterbury primary so pay a little more.... if youre over glen iris side, youre likely in hartwell for similar dollars... but if youre in what i call camberwell proper (hawthorn east side) and want camberwell primary, youre still paying big dollars.
     
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