As the forum's official Doom and Gloomer, it's my duty to post up Bloomberg's Pessimist's Guide to 2017. This is a follow-up to last year's predictions, and the Property Chat thread I started. They called Trump and Brexit last time, so what's in store for 2017? Trumplandia Political unrest follows Trump's inauguration, leading to a progressive movement in California taking him on. Threats of splits in the Republican party and Calexit arise. Yalta 2.0 Germany finds itself trapped between an expansionist Russia, and an isolationist USA. Should they lead a military build-up against Putin, or strike a grand bargain with him? Economic war between China and America Trump brings in tariffs against China, who suppress the Yuan and block exports of consumer goods like the iPhone. This leads to a financial crisis and recession in the Far East. Kim trumps Trump Trump withdraws the US from its NATO and UN commitments. North Korea and ISIS cause trouble, and he's forced to cut a deal with China to deal with the consequences. Heads roll in Europe Populists such as Marine Le Pen win the upcoming elections across Europe. There's a Greek crisis, collapse in the Euro, and France threatens to leave the EU. The Internet of (Bad) Things Wikileaks turns on Trump, the big Internet companies are revealed to be using connected devices as wiretaps, and hackers launch large-scale cyber attacks. This results in tech stocks taking a serious beating. Cuba - back in the USSR Trump reverses Obama's rapprochement with Cuba, who get back into bed with Russia, and in turn establish a spy base in Havana. That doesn't go down well. Mexico Meltdown Trump pulls the US out of NAFTA. Mexico suffers recession, and elects a populist leader. Saudi Arabia’s Golden Boy is Sidelined Saudi attempts to diversify away from fossil fuels fails. Tensions in the region rise, and the economy takes a hit.