To be expected undecidedness due to upcoming election. If Trump wins I expect the US market to push up decisively to new highs. If Biden wins, I...
What is the difference between “corrective” in form vs “motive”? Are you saying that while the motive price action since 2009, it was still...
That’s a good point, and no it probably doesn’t matter unless they’re called on it and don’t buy. I wonder how the bond market will react when it...
Everyone assuming that the US Fed has bought corporate bonds to avert credit crunch. But question is - did the Fed really buy corporate bonds, or...
I think the market is both forward and backwards looking. It looks forward on expectations, and it looks backwards to history to use in decision...
Re. Last para, pretty sure that was me. Or it could well have been Sharron and me.
The market has priced in known information and is forward looking based on expectations. All of us know the facts of what has happened. All of us...
The whole system is becoming more and more broken. It has been since the 80's. I'm not talking about fringe theories here but basic economic...
Fully agree with you that it has already priced in the already happened information such as employment figures and that the market is always...
Thanks and makes a lot of sense. However when I click on that link I find the graph only goes up to 2010, not long after the GFC low so it's...
Good point! Though looking at the US S&P500 it's not quite double (index 1552 in Sep 2007 to 2500 in Sep 2017) but a sizeable gain nonetheless....
Very interesting read and I agree that market timing is almost impossible to get right consistently over the long term. However one I think found...
Thanks for taking the time to reply in detail. Those are some interesting numbers and it does show that even in the case of the GFC, most that are...
Interesting then, that of the 500 companies in the Fortune 500 in 1955, around 440 no longer exist. I'm sure earnings took a big hit for quite a...
I largely agree with you that it's not possible to time the market with any reasonable degree of accuracy at least not consistently. However the...
This. I'm convinced of the same. Seeing quite a few articles on "billionaire investors buying up big". They'll move the market initially, the...
I think I know what you mean Ross, I'm feeling similar that our recovery since GFC hasn't been as stellar as the US markets yet our fall (after...
Amazing what difference almost a year makes. Well I haven't bought a property in either Perth or Brisbane but I did sell out of my US S&P500 ETF...
I think there is a higher probability that we are not yet at or near the bottom and there is a fair amount of downside left to go. So far the...
I'm curious to understand how you actually trade Elliot wave. It seems like the wave only becomes clear after the fact. I'm ok with things not...
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